基本信息
刘秀丽  女  博导  中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
电子邮件: xiuli.liu@amss.ac.cn
通信地址: 北京中关村东路55号中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院南楼
邮政编码: 100190

研究领域

宏观经济-资源-环境-人口系统建模与预测;投入产出分析与复杂网络分析;粮食、经济安全与可持续发展研究

招生信息

   
招生专业
120100-管理科学与工程
020209-数量经济学
招生方向
宏观经济-资源-环境-人口系统建模与预测
投入产出分析与复杂网络分析
粮食、经济安全与可持续发展

工作经历

  1. 2017-03-今,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院研究员,博士生导师

  2. 2020-05--今,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院  经济分析与预测科学研究室 主任

  3. 2020-01--2020-05, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign,USA 高级研究学者

  4. 2012-04--2013-01, University of Illinois  at Urbana-Champaign,USA 高级研究学者

  5. 2012-01--2020-04,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院  经济分析与预测科学研究室 副主任

  6. 2010-03--2017-02,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 副研究员

  7. 2009-06--今, 中国科学院预测科学研究中心 主任助理

  8. 2008-04--2009-01, University of Illinois  at Urbana-Champaign,USA visiting scholar

  9. 2007-03--2010-03 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 助理研究员

  10. 2005-02--2007-03 北京西门子通信网络股份有限公司 工程师

  11. 2004-07--2005-02 机械工业信息研究院 助理研究员

社会兼职
2021-05-15-今,中国系统工程学会系统理论专业委员会委员, 委员
2020-10-16-今,全国投入产出与大数据研究会, 副会长
2019-12-31-2022-12-30,中国运筹学会理事, 理事
2019-01-01-今,系统科学与数学编委, 编委
2018-10-30-今,East Asian Economic Association member, member
2017-11-01-2022-11-01,Journal of advanced Statistics, Editor
2017-09-01-2022-09-01,Modern Management Forum, Editor
2016-07-21-今,国际计量经济学会, 会员
2016-06-01-2020-06-01,水利系统工程学会专业委员会委员, 水利系统工程学会专业委员会委员
2016-05-01-今,国际水资源学会, 会员
2015-07-15-今,中国决策科学学会, 常务理事
2015-06-01-2020-01-01,American Economic Association Member, Member
2014-05-01-今,Frontiers in Environmental Science, Editor
2013-12-31-2018-12-31,系统科学与数学编委, 编委
2013-02-01-今,Senior Member of International Association of Engineering Technology,
2010-07-01-今,中国投入产出学会副秘书长、常务理事,
2010-04-01-今,International Journal of Intelligent Information Processing, 编委
2009-01-01-今,《中国经济预测与展望》系列丛书编委,
2006-12-31-今,International Input-output Analysis Association, Member

教授课程

预测方法简介和应用实践
几个预测案例简介
input-output analysis
投入产出与投入占用产出技术
投入产出分析及应用统计学(英文课)
投入产出分析中文课程
input-output analysis 英文课程
input-output analysis英文课程
投入产出技术中文课程

专利与奖励

(15)2015年首届中国决策科学青年科技奖(个人奖)
奖励信息
(1) 国家***领军人才, , 国家级, 2021
(2) 2021年度优秀共产党员, 研究所(学校), 2021
(3) 第5 届系统科学大会张贴论文奖, 二等奖, 专项, 2021
(4) 2019年度优秀党务工作者, 研究所(学校), 2019
(5) 2019国家公派出国留学基金资助, 国家级, 2019
(6) 2018年中国管理科学第二十届学术年会优秀论文奖, 专项, 2018
(7) 2018第8届经济计量分析与预测国际学术会议优秀论文奖, , 专项, 2018
(8) 第8届中国决策科学学术年会优秀论文奖, , 专项, 2016
(9) 2015中科院科技促进发展奖, 二等奖, 部委级, 2015
(10) 首届中国决策科学青年科技奖, , 国家级, 2015
(11) 系统科学最佳论文奖, , 专项, 2013
(12) 2012年中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院突出科研成果奖, , 院级, 2013
(13) 2011年国家科技进步奖二等奖, 二等奖, 国家级, 2011
(14) 2012年中国科学院公派出国留学资助, , 部委级, 2011
(15) Venice Summer Institute Workshop on the Evolving R, , 专项, 2010
(16) 关肇直青年研究奖, , 研究所(学校), 2010
(17) 中国第八届投入产出会议优秀论文奖, , 其他, 2010
(18) 18th International Input-output Analysis Conferenc, , 专项, 2010
(19) 2010年华夏建设科技奖一等奖, 一等奖, 国家级, 2010
(20) 大禹水利科学技术奖一等奖, 一等奖, 国家级, 2009
(21) Award for Intellectual Contributions to Regional E, , 其他, 2009
(22) 2008年中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院公派出国留学资助, , 院级, 2008
(23) 北京市科学技术奖一等奖, 一等奖, 省级, 2007
(24) 全国水利水电科技成果奖, , 专项, 2004

出版信息

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发表论文
(1) Xiang Xin, Liu Xiuli*, Research on the economic and environmental impacts of China's seawater desalination industry with different technologies in the macroeconomic system, Desalination, 2022, 通讯作者
(2) 刘秀丽*,相鑫,秦明慧,窦羽星,中长期粮食需求预测研究综述与展望, 系统科学与数学, 2022, 通讯作者
(3) 郇松桦,刘秀丽*,海水淡化业全球发展现状及生产成本动态对比分析, 水利经济, 2022, 通讯作者
(4) 郇松桦,刘秀丽*,COVID-19背景下基于Neural Prophet模型的社会消费品零售总额月度 预测研究, 计量经济学报, 2022, 通讯作者
(5) Liu Xiuli*, Qin Minghui, Xiang Xin, Forecasting on China’s Water Demand by Industry in 2021, IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, (Online ISSN: 1755-1315), 2021, 通讯作者
(6) Li Xuefeng, Liu Xiuli*, Identifying hub wastewater propagation chains in China’s national economic system: A model coupled input-output analysis with graphical theory. Water, 2021, 13: 2351, Water, 2021, 通讯作者
(7) 新时代中国国民营养与粮食安全研究中的关键科学问题——第249期“双清论坛”综述, 中国科学基金, 2021, 第 3 作者
(8) Liu Xiuli*, Dou Yuxing, Zhai Kexin, Huan Songhua, Forecasting on China’s final consumption in 2021, E3S Web of Conferences 257, 2021, 通讯作者
(9) Huan Songhua, Liu Xiuli*, Development Status of Global Seawater Desalination Industry and Dynamically Comparative Analysis of Its Production Cost, IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, (Online ISSN: 1755-1315), 2021, 通讯作者
(10) Liu Qing, Liu Xiuli*, Evaluating the Impacts of Universal Two-child Policy on Beijing’s Population, Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2020, 通讯作者
(11) Chen Hongli, Wu Yanyan, Liu Xiuli*and Zhang Wenju*,Competitiveness Evaluation of Chinese Dairy Industry Based on Accelerated Genetic Algorithm Projection Pursuit Model, Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2020, 通讯作者
(12) Forecasting on China’s Final Consumption in 2020, Computational Social Science, 2020, 通讯作者
(13) Xiuli Liu*, Forecasting on Water Demand by Industry in China in 2020, Computational Social Science, 2020, 通讯作者
(14) Hongli Chen* and Xiuli Liu, The formation mechanism of green dairy industry chain from the perspective of green sustainable development, Complexity, 2020, 第 2 作者
(15) Xiuli Liu*, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings*, Shouyang Wang*, Minghui Qin, Xin Xiang, Shan Zheng, Xuefeng Li, Modeling the situation of COVID-19 and effects of different containment strategies in China with dynamic differential equations and parameters estimation, MedRxiv, 2020, 通讯作者
(16) Evaluating the Impacts of Universal Two-Child Policy on Beijing’s Population, Evaluating the Impacts of Universal Two-Child Policy on Beijing's Population, JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2020, 通讯作者
(17) Competitiveness Evaluation of Chinese Dairy Industry Based on Accelerated Genetic Algorithm Projection Pursuit Model, MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING, 2020, 通讯作者
(18) The Formation Mechanism of Green Dairy Industry Chain from the Perspective of Green Sustainable Development, COMPLEXITY, 2020, 第 2 作者
(19) Identification of changes in the economic interactions among sectors from 1995 to 2010 for Chicago economy using hierarchical feedback loop analysis, ANNALS OF REGIONAL SCIENCE, 2019, 通讯作者
(20) Assessment on Water Environmental Safety in Haihe River Basin in China, Advances in Intelligent Systems Research, 2019, 通讯作者
(21) Study on the Balance of Dietary Structure of Residents in China by Province and Age Group Based on the Diet Guidelines for Chinese Residents (2016), BASIC & CLINICAL PHARMACOLOGY & TOXICOLOGY, 2019, 通讯作者
(22) Identification of Changes in the Economic Interactions among Sectors for Chicago Economy Using Feedback Loop Analysis, The Annals of Regional Science, 2019, 通讯作者
(23) Prediction of China's Household Consumption and Its Effects on China’s GDP, Environment, Energy and Earth Sciences, 2019, 通讯作者
(24) The Comparative Study on Changes of Dietary Structure Among Residents in Mainland China and Other Regions, BASIC & CLINICAL PHARMACOLOGY & TOXICOLOGY, 2019, 通讯作者
(25) Evaluating Impacts of the Ternary Structure Change of Population in Urban and Rural Areas on Industrial Development in China, Environment, Energy and Earth Sciences, 2019, 通讯作者
(26) Xiuli Liu*, Xikang Chen, Shouyang Wang.The Comparative Study on Changes of Dietary Structure among Residents in Mainland China and Other Regions, Basic & Clinical Pharmacology & Toxicology, 2019, 通讯作者
(27) Analysis of Influence Factors of Dietary Structure of Urban Residents in Beijing and Heilongjiang Areas——A Case Study of Grain and Aquatic Products, Advances in Computer Science Research, 2019, 通讯作者
(28) 生育政策调整背景下2018-2100年中国人口规模与结构预测研究, Forecasting on China's Population Size and Structure During 2018-2100 with the Background of Family Planning Policy Adjustment, 数学的实践与认识, 2018, 通讯作者
(29) 基于合理膳食结构的2020-2050年我国食物用粮需求测算, Estimating China's food grains demand from 2020 to 2050 based on reasonable dietary pattern, 系统工程理论与实践, 2018, 通讯作者
(30) 新时期我国居民消费总量与结构预测研究, 系统科学与数学, 2018, 通讯作者
(31) Forecasting on China's Total Water Demand in 2018, PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2018 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER MODELING, SIMULATION AND ALGORITHM (CMSA 2018), 2018, 通讯作者
(32) 改进型四层参数自调整BP神经网络模型及其对人口死亡率预测的应用, 系统科学与数学, 2018, 通讯作者
(33) 刘秀丽*,涂卓卓,水环境安全评价方法及其在京津冀地区的应用, 中国管理科学, 2018, 通讯作者
(34) Xiuli Liu. A Method to Visualize the Skeleton Industrial Structure with Input- Output Analysis and its Application in China, Japan and USA, Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2018, 通讯作者
(35) Xiuli Liu*. Forecasting on China's Total Water Demand in 2018, Advances in Intelligent Systems Research, 2018, 通讯作者
(36) 四层参数自调整BP神经网络模型及其在人口死亡率预测中的应用, Four-Layer Parameter Self-Adjusting BP Neural Network Model and Its Application in Population Mortality Prediction, 系统科学与数学, 2018, 通讯作者
(37) Xiuli Liu*, Geoffrey Hewings J. D., Shouyang Wang and Xikang Chen,Intervention effects on the dietary structure and habits of patients with type 2 diabetes in regions of China, Basic & Clinical Pharmacology & Toxicology, 2018, 通讯作者
(38) Minghui Qin,Xiuli Liu*,Analysis of the Influence of Dietary Pattern on the Health Level of Residents in China--Based on the DEA method, Basic & Clinical Pharmacology & Toxicology, 2018, 通讯作者
(39) 两孩政策背景下2018—2025年我国分年龄组劳动力供给量测算研究, 科技促进发展, 2018, 通讯作者
(40) A method to visualize the skeleton industrial structure with input-output analysis and its application in china, japan and usa, JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2018, 通讯作者
(41) 刘庆,刘秀丽,基于合理膳食结构的2020-2050年我国食物用粮需求测算, 系统工程理论与实践, 2018, 通讯作者
(42) Evaluating the impacts of waste treatment management modes on each sector's price in a macro economic system, JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2018, 通讯作者
(43) Xiuli Liu*, Shouyang Wang and Geoffrey J D Hewings,Evaluating the impacts of waste treatment management modes on product price by sector in a macro economic system, Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change, 2018, 通讯作者
(44) 水环境安全评价方法及其在京津冀地区的应用, Assessment Method on Water Environment Security and Its Application in Jing-Jin-Ji Region, 中国管理科学, 2018, 通讯作者
(45) 新时期中国居民消费总量与结构预测研究, Prediction of China's Household Consumption and Its Structure in the New Period, 系统科学与数学, 2018, 通讯作者
(46) Xiuli Liu.Estimation of Surface Water Quality in China, 2017 2nd International Conference on Environmental Science and Energy Engineering, 2017, 通讯作者
(47) 全国及区域粮食产量预测——中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院陈锡康团队成果, 科技成果管理与研究, 2016, 通讯作者
(48) A New Indicator to Evaluate by Sector Water Use Efficiency and Its Application, PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON BIOLOGICAL ENGINEERING AND PHARMACY (BEP 2016), 2016, 通讯作者
(49) A Factor Decomposing Model of Water Use Efficiency at Sector Level and Its Application in Beijing, JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2016, 通讯作者
(50) Economic effects analysis of seawater desalination in China with input-output technology, DESALINATION, 2016, 通讯作者
(51) Forecast on Total Water Demand in China, PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON BIOLOGICAL ENGINEERING AND PHARMACY (BEP 2016), 2016, 通讯作者
(52) A grey neural network and input-output combined forecasting model. Primary energy consumption forecasts in Spanish economic sectors, ENERGY, 2016, 第 1 作者
(53) 我国用水总量预测研究, FORECAST ON TOTAL WATER DEMAND IN CHINA, 系统科学与数学, 2016, 通讯作者
(54) An Improving Way to Evaluate by Sector Water Use Efficiency and Its Application in Beijing, INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCES IN MANAGEMENT SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING (AMSE 2015), 2015, 通讯作者
(55) 全国及九大流域5类用水影子价格的计算与预测研究, 水利水电科技进展, 2015, 通讯作者
(56) 我国水资源利用效率和节水潜力, Water use efficiency and water conservation potential in China, 水利水电科技进展, 2015, 通讯作者
(57) 我国用水量变动影响因素的结构分解分析, 管理评论, 2015, 通讯作者
(58) 我国工业需水量预测模型研究及应用, 数学的实践与认识, 2015, 通讯作者
(59) Prediction model on Chinese annual live hog supply and its application, JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2015, 通讯作者
(60) 全国及九大流域分类用水影子价格的计算与预测, Calculating and forecasting shadow prices of all kinds of water in China and its nine major river basins, 水利水电科技进展, 2014, 通讯作者
(61) 中国废水排放量预测研究, Prediction of Wastewater Emission in China, 环境科学与管理, 2014, 通讯作者
(62) Research on Regional Comprehensive Production Capacity of Hog Industry in China with the Constraints of Resources and Environment, Advanced Material Research, 2014, 通讯作者
(63) Research on industrial water demand forecasting model and its application in China, Applied Mechanics and Materials, 2014, 通讯作者
(64) Understanding Water Consumption and Demand in China, Advanced Material Research, 2014, 通讯作者
(65) FINDING UNDERLYING CHANGES AMONG SECTORS FOR THE STRUCTURE TRANSFORMATION OF AN ECONOMY WITH HIERARCHICAL FEEDBACK LOOP ANALYSIS, JOURNAL OF INVESTIGATIVE MEDICINE, 2014, 通讯作者
(66) Prediction of wastewater emission in China, Advanced Material Research, 2014, 通讯作者
(67) 山东省粮食产量预测研究, 系统科学与数学, 2013, 通讯作者
(68) A Multi-Factor Decomposing Model and Its Application in Finding Impacting Factors of Beijing Water Use Efficiency, Journal of Chemical and Pharmaceutical Research, 2013, 通讯作者
(69) What Impact Water Use Efficiency? A Factor Decomposing Model and Its Application in Beijing, 2013 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCE (ICIEMS 2013), 2013, 通讯作者
(70) Urban Building Energy Consumption Calculation with the IPAT Theory, Periodical of Advanced Materials Research, 2013, 通讯作者
(71) A Grey Neural Network and Input-Output Combined Forecasting Model and Its Application in Primary Energy Related CO2 Emissions Estimation by Sector in China, TERRAGREEN 13 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 2013 - ADVANCEMENTS IN RENEWABLE ENERGY AND CLEAN ENVIRONMENT, 2013, 通讯作者
(72) 河北省分季粮食产量预测研究, Forecast on Seasonal Grain Production of Hebei Province, 农业展望, 2013, 通讯作者
(73) A Grey Neural Network and Input-Output Combined Forecasting Model and Its Application in Primary Energy Related CO2 Emissions Estimation by Sector in China, Energy Procedia, 2013, 通讯作者
(74) 考虑资源环境约束的我国区域生猪养殖业综合生产能力评价, 系统工程理论与实践, 2013, 通讯作者
(75) 我国原料奶年度供给量预测研究, 农业展望, 2012, 第 2 作者
(76) 实施建筑节能标准的宏观经济和环境影响测算模型研究, 中国管理科学, 2012, 通讯作者
(77) 基于资源和环境承载力的我国区域生猪养殖业综合生产能力评价, 系统工程理论与实践, 2012, 通讯作者
(78) 产品绿色价格测算模型研究, 绿色科技, 2012, 第 1 作者
(79) 我国原料奶拟需求量预测及供需协调分析, Virtual Demand Forecasting and Demand and Supply Coordination Degree Analysis of Raw Milk in China, 农业现代化研究, 2012, 第 2 作者
(80) 基于IPAT理论的城镇建筑能耗测算模型和应用, 中国人口·资源与环境, 2012, 通讯作者
(81) 基于投入产出分析的产品绿色价格模型研究, A Study of Product Green Price Model Based on Input--Output Analysis, 绿色科技, 2012, 通讯作者
(82) By Sector Water Consumption and Related Economy Analysis Integrated Model and Its Application in Hai River Basin, China, Journal of Water Resource and Protection, 2012, 通讯作者
(83) 2011年我国分行业一次能源消费产生的二氧化碳排放量预测, 科技促进发展, 2011, 通讯作者
(84) 基于超效率DEA模型的中国各地区钢铁行业能源效率及节能减排潜力分析, ANALYSIS OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND ENERGY-SAVING AND EMISSION-REDUCTION POTENTIAL OF STEEL INDUSTRY IN VARIOUS REGIONS OF CHINA BASED ON SUPER-EFFICIENCY DEA MODEL, 系统科学与数学, 2011, 通讯作者
(85) 我国生猪年度供给量预测研究, STUDY ON PREDICTION OF CHINESE ANNUAL SUPPLY OF LIVE HOGS, 系统科学与数学, 2011, 通讯作者
(86) 制定反倾销策略的一种决策方法研究, A Decision-making Method to Make Anti-dumping Strategy, 管理评论, 2011, 通讯作者
(87) 中国猪肉价格波动对其他部门产品价格及CPI的影响测算, 中国农村经济, 2011, 通讯作者
(88) 实施民用建筑节能标准的经济和环境影响测算研究, Evaluation on the Economic and Environmental Impacts of Implementing Civil Building Energy Efficiency Standards, 建筑节能, 2011, 通讯作者
(89) Fighting China s Financial Crisis with O.R.,How China economy recovered from the Great Recession to reach its growth target of 8 percent by the end of 2009, OR/MS Today, 2010, 通讯作者
(90) 实现低碳目标要增加多少增量成本, 能源评论, 2010, 通讯作者
(91) 基于投入产出分析的建筑节能经济-环境影响测算模型的研究和应用, MODEL BASED ON INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS TO MEASURE THE IMPACT OF BUILDING ENERGY EFFICIENCY ON NATIONAL ECONOMY SYSTEM AND ENVIRONMENT AND ITS APPLICATION, 系统科学与数学, 2010, 通讯作者
(92) 中国二氧化碳减排的增量成本测算, Measurement of Incremental Cost for CO2 Mitigation in China, 管理评论, 2010, 第 2 作者
(93) Evaluation on the impacts of the implementation of civil building energy efficiency standards on Chinese economic system and environment, Energy & Buildings, 2009, 通讯作者
(94) 中美温室气体排放趋势及我国节能减排潜力的测算(上), 节能与环保, 2009, 通讯作者
(95) Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins, WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT, 2009, 通讯作者
(96) 生猪主产区养殖规模预测研究, 中国猪业, 2009, 通讯作者
(97) 1987~2005年水的生产和供应部门对国民经济影响分析, 水利经济, 2009, 第 2 作者
(98) 中美温室气体排放趋势及我国节能减排潜力的测算(下), 节能与环保, 2009, 通讯作者
(99) 中美温室气体排放趋势及我国节能减排潜力的测算(中), 节能与环保, 2009, 通讯作者
(100) 2009年菏泽市农业生产情况调查, 农村.农业.农民(A版), 2009, 通讯作者
(101) 水资源影子价格计算和预测模型研究, Water Shadow Price Calculation and Forecasted Models Research, 中国人口·资源与环境, 2009, 通讯作者
(102) 2008和2009年底我国生猪供需量和供需缺口预测, 统计与决策, 2008, 通讯作者
(103) 投入占用产出分析在理论与方法上的若干重要进展及其主要应用, SOME IMPORTANT EVOLUTION OF INPUT-OCCUPANCY-OUTPUT ANALYSIS THEORY AND METHODS AND THEIR MAIN APPLICATIONS, 中国科学基金, 2008, 第 2 作者
(104) Simulating and Evaluating the Impacts of the Implementation of Building Energy Efficiency Standards on Chinese Economic System and Environment, WCECS 2008: WORLD CONGRESS ON ENGINEERING AND COMPUTER SCIENCE, 2008, 通讯作者
(105) 建筑节能对建筑能耗的直接经济和环境影响测算模型及其实证分析, Evaluate Model of Direct Economic and Environmental Impacts of Building Energy Efficiency on Building Energy Consumption and Its Demonstration, 中国人口·资源与环境, 2008, 通讯作者
(106) Methods for Approximating the Shadow Price of Water in China, ECONOMIC SYSTEMS RESEARCH, 2008, 通讯作者
(107) “十一五”建筑节能任务的完成策略及其经济和环境影响测算, 建筑经济, 2008, 通讯作者
(108) 关于我国生猪供需量和供需缺口的预测, 统计与决策, 2008, 通讯作者
(109) 计算倾销或补贴对进口国经济直接和关联影响的CPE-IHO模型, 管理评论, 2006, 通讯作者
(110) The Non-linear Important Coefficients Input-Holding-Output Model, International Journal of Applied Economics and Econometrics, 2005, 通讯作者
(111) 主系数非线性投入占用产出模型, Nonlinear Input-occupancy-output Model on Important Coefficients, 南京理工大学学报(自然科学版), 2005, 通讯作者
(112) 投入占用产出技术中若干理论与应用问题研究, 2004, 通讯作者
(113) 投入产出方法在电子信息产业与流域经济发展研究中的应用, 水利经济, 2003, 通讯作者
(114) 生产用水和工业用水影子价格计算模型和应用, Calculating models for shadow prices of industrial and productive water and their application, 水利水电科技进展, 2003, 通讯作者
(115) 珠江流域水利投入占用产出表的分析和应用, 水利经济, 2003, 通讯作者
(116) 投入产出分析在我国九大流域水资源影子价格计算中的应用, The Application of Input-Output Analysis for Calculating Shadow Prices of Water Resources of Chinese nine drainage areas, 管理评论, 2003, 通讯作者
发表著作
(1) 中国投入产出分析理论和实践研究进展, Some Advance of Input-Output Analysis-Theory and Practice in China, VDM published,Germany, 2009-07, 第 1 作者
(2) 金融危机背景下大规模投资对中国经济增长与就业影响测算及对策研究, The impacts of large scale investments on Chinese economic growth and employment and their anti-measures under the background of the world financial crisis, 科学出版社, 2010-04, 第 2 作者
(3) 投入产出技术, input-output technology, 科学出版社, 2011-04, 第 3 作者
(4) 畜产品供需协调度和生产区域优化布局研究, Research on Livestock products supply and demand coordination degree and production regional optimization in China, 科学出版社, 2012-12, 第 1 作者
(5) 基于投入占用产出技术的水资源管理关键问题研究, Key issues in water resources management based on input-occupancy-output technology, 科学出版社, 2016-08, 第 1 作者
(6) 我国行业用水分析及2017年需水量预测, 科学出版社, 2017-03, 第 1 作者
(7) 2017年我国消费形势分析与预测, 科学出版社, 2017-03, 第 1 作者
(8) 2018年中国最终消费形势分析与预测, 科学出版社, 2018-06, 第 1 作者
(9) 我国行业用水分析及2018年需水量预测, 科学出版社, 2018-06, 第 1 作者
(10) 2019年中国最终消费形势分析与预测, 科学出版社, 2019-07, 第 1 作者
(11) 我国行业用水分析及2019年需水量预测, 科学出版社, 2019-07, 第 1 作者
(12) 章节:刘秀丽(通讯作者),郑杉,窦羽星,2020年中国最终消费形势分析与预测, 科学出版社, 2020-06, 第 1 作者
(13) 章节:刘秀丽(通讯作者),秦明慧,相鑫,我国行业用水分析及2020年需水量预测, 科学出版社, 2020-06, 第 1 作者
(14) 章节:刘秀丽(通讯作者),窦羽星,郇松桦,2021年中国最终消费形势分析与预测,2021年中国经济预测与展望,2021.6出版, 科学出版社, 2021-06, 第 1 作者
(15) 章节:刘秀丽(通讯作者),秦明慧,相鑫,我国行业用水分析及2021年需水量预测,2021年中国经济预测与展望,科学出版社出版,2021.6出版, 科学出版社, 2021-06, 第 1 作者
(16) 章节:刘秀丽*,窦羽星,郇松桦,2022年中国最终消费形势分析与预测,2022年中国经济预测与展望,2022.3出版, 科学出版社, 2022-03, 第 1 作者
(17) 章节:刘秀丽(通讯作者),秦明慧,相鑫,李学峰,承子杰,我国行业用水分析及2022年需水量预测,2022年中国经济预测与展望,科学出版社出版,2022.3出版, 科学出版社, 2022-03, 第 1 作者
(18) Xiuli Liu, Minghui Qin, Shan Zheng, Xin Xiang, Chapter ‘Quantitative Economics in China :from Planned Economy to Socialist Market Economy’, Rowman & Littlefield, 2022-12, 第 1 作者
(19) 中长期我国人口结构变化及其影响研究, 科学出版社, 2022-12, 第 1 作者

科研活动

                
科研项目
( 1 ) 国民经济和社会发展中若干重大问题研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2010-01--2012-12
( 2 ) 可持续发展水资源管理的投入占用产出模型研究和应用, 负责人, 国家任务, 2008-01--2010-12
( 3 ) 建筑节能标准对国民经济和社会发展影响的模型测算, 参与, 国家任务, 2007-05--2008-12
( 4 ) 金融危机背景下大规模投资对中国经济增长与就业影响测算及对策研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2009-04--2009-11
( 5 ) 农产品数量安全智能分析与预警的关键技术及平台研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2008-07--2012-04
( 6 ) 非线性投入占用产出技术及其在预测中的应用, 参与, 国家任务, 2009-01--2011-12
( 7 ) 利用反映加工贸易特点的非竞争进口型投入占用产出模型和CGE模型研究出口对国内增加值、国民总收入及就业, 参与, 国家任务, 2009-01--2011-12
( 8 ) 基于水利投入占用产出技术的区域水安全多策略综合仿真模型研究及应用, 负责人, 国家任务, 2012-01--2015-12
( 9 ) 欧洲主权债务危机对中国实体经济的影响及对策研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2012-06--2012-12
( 10 ) 区域粮食产量预测, 负责人, 研究所自选, 2011-01--2022-12
( 11 ) 全国粮食产量预测研究, 参与, 中国科学院计划, 2004-03--2010-12
( 12 ) 中长期我国人口结构预测研究, 参与, 中国科学院计划, 2014-09--2016-09
( 13 ) 全国粮棉油产量数学模型预测, 负责人, 中国科学院计划, 2011-01--2022-12
( 14 ) 人口规模总量及结构预测模型及实证, 负责人, 中国科学院计划, 2017-01--2018-12
( 15 ) 海河流域水污染在部门间传导的关键路径辨识及部门联动治理的经济策略研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2019-01--2022-12
( 16 ) 国民营养与粮食安全子课题:居民膳食结构对国民营养与健康的影响分析研究, 负责人, 中国科学院计划, 2018-06--2019-12
( 17 ) 经济预测及其政策分析, 参与, 国家任务, 2017-01--2018-12
参与会议
(1)Forecasting long-term food grain demand in China considering nexus effects of population's structure, dietary structure, and fertility policies   2021-12-11
(2)Xiuli Liu*, Yuxing Dou, China’s food grain demand with balanced dietary in different fertility policies   第五届中国系统科学大会   Xiuli Liu*, Yuxing Dou   2021-05-22
(3)Xiuli Liu* et al., Forecasting on China’s Water Demand by Industry in 2021   2021-04-11
(4)Songhua Huan, Xiuli Liu*, Development Status of Global Seawater Desalination Industry and Dynamically Comparative Analysis of Its Production Cost   2   2021-04-10
(5)Xiuli Liu* et al. Forecasting on China’s final consumption in 2021   第二届管理科学与工程管理国际学术会议   2021-04-02
(6)Xiuli Liu*, Estimating the Course of COVID-19 in Mainland China and Effects of Different Containment Strategies   中国运筹学会第十一次全国会员代表大会暨第十五次学术年会   Xiuli Liu   2020-10-15
(7)Xiuli Liu*,Forecasting on Water Demand by Industry in China in 2020   Xiuli Liu   2020-09-25
(8)Minghui Qin, Xiuli Liu*, Analysis of influencing factors of waste water discharge in Haihe River Basin   2020年第四届中国系统科学大会   Minghui Qin, Xiuli Liu*   2020-09-19
(9)Xin Xaing, Xiuli Liu*, Estimation of food loss and waste in China and its impact on natural resources and environment   第四届中国系统科学大会   2020-09-10
(10)Xiuli Liu*, Forecasting on China’s Final Consumption in 2020   Xiuli Liu   2020-08-15
(11)Xiuli Liu*, Forecasting on China’s Final Consumption in 2020   Xiuli Liu   2020-08-14
(12)刘秀丽*,基于居民膳食结构变化的粮食(食物)需求预测   国家自然科学基金委员会第249届双清论坛   刘秀丽   2019-11-21
(13)Xiuli Liu*, Evaluating the impacts of family household size on residential energy consumption in China   2019中国投入产出学会第十一届年会   Xiuli Liu   2019-08-20
(14)秦明慧,刘秀丽*,基于CGE模型的水资源税对我国经济环境的影响分析   2019中国投入产出学会年会   秦明慧,刘秀丽   2019-08-17
(15)郑杉,刘秀丽*,居民消费预测及其对GDP增速的拉动作用测算   2019中国投入产出学会年会   郑杉,刘秀丽   2019-08-16
(16)城乡人口三元结构变化对我国产业发展的影响测算   2019中国投入产出学会年会   相鑫,刘秀丽   2019-08-16
(17)Evaluating Method on Water Environment and its Application in Jing-Jin-Ji Region of China   Xiuli Liu, Zhuozhuo Tu   2019-07-16
(18)Forecasting on Four Kinds of Water Demands in China in 2019   Xiuli Liu   2019-07-16
(19)Evaluating the Impacts of Waste Treatment Management Modes on Each Sector’s Price in a Macro Economic System   Xiuli Liu, Hewings G. J. D   2019-06-30
(20)Uncovering the Structural Transformation of the Chicago Economy Using Feedback Loop Analysis   2019年第3届系统科学大会   Xiuli Liu*, Geoffrey Hewings   2019-05-18
(21)Evaluating the impacts of family household size on residential energy consumption in China   Xiuli Liu*, Shouyang Wang   2019-05-09
(22)Prediction of China's Household Consumption and Its Effects on China’s GDP   Shan ZHENG and Xiu-li LIU   2019-04-21
(23)Evaluating Impacts of the Ternary Structure Change of Population in Urban and Rural Areas on Industrial Development in China   Xin XIANG and Xiu-li LIU   2019-04-21
(24)Forecasting on Total Water Demand in China in 2018   Xiuli Liu   2018-11-17
(25)A Method to Visualize the Skeleton Industrial Structure with Input- Output Analysis and its Application in China, Japan and USA   Xiuli Liu   2018-11-06
(26)Evaluating impacts of the three element structure change of population in urban and rural areas on economic development in China   Xin Xiang, Xiuli Liu   2018-11-06
(27)Forecasting on Urban Household Debt in China   Eremina Ekaterina, Xiuli Liu   2018-09-10
(28)Intervention effects on the dietary structure and habits of patients with type 2 diabetes in regions of China   Liu X. L., Hewings G. J. D., Wang S. Y. and Chen X. K.    2018-09-07
(29)Analysis of the Influence of Dietary Pattern on the Health Level of Residents in China--Based on the DEA method   Qin Minghui and Liu X. L.   2018-09-07
(30)Forecasting on Urban Household Debt in China   Eremina Ekaterina, Xiuli Liu   2018-08-16
(31)Evaluating the impacts of waste treatment management modes on product price by sector in a macro economic system   Xiuli Liu   2018-08-06
(32)一种主导产业结构的可视化方法及其应用研究   2018第8届经济计量分析与预测国际学术会议   Xiuli Liu   2018-06-22
(33)Impacts of Waste Treatment Management Modes on Products' Prices by Sector: a Case Study for China Waste Water Treatment   2018-03-05
(34)中长期我国人口结构预测及劳动力供需缺口分析   2017年中国人口发展与粮食安全研讨会   2017-12-20
(35)我国人口结构预测及其社会经济环境影响分析   2017年人口、粮食、资源管理与经济发展研讨会   2017-12-10
(36)What Are Impacts of Waste Treatment Option on Green Products' Prices by Sector?   2017-06-18
(37)基于投入产出分析的绿色产品价格测算模型及应用研究   2017年第一届系统科学大会   2017-05-12
(38)北京市人口规模与结构预测研究   2017年第一届系统科学大会   2017-05-12
(39)Estimation of Surface Water Quality in China   2017-01-15
(40)2017年我国最终消费预测   2017年中国经济预测发布与研讨会   2017-01-05
(41)Hybrid Input-Output Analysis of Waste Treatment Management Modes Impacts on Products' Prices by Sector: a Case Study for China Waste Water Treatment   经济模型与政策分析研讨会   Xiuli Liu   2016-12-10
(42)Forecast on Total Water Demand in China    Xiuli Liu   2016-12-09
(43)Hybrid Input-Output Analysis of Waste Treatment Modes Impacts on Products' Prices by Sector: a Case Study for China Waste Water Treatment   Xiuli Liu   2016-11-02
(44)Population Forecast in Beijing from 2020 to 2050 Based on the PDE Model   Qing Liu, Xiuli Liu   2016-11-02
(45)基于PDE模型的2016-2050北京市人口预测研究   第八届中国决策科学学术年会   刘庆,刘秀丽   2016-10-22
(46)The Population Structure Change of China and the Urban Development   2016海峡两岸绿色经济与城市发展研讨会   Xiuli Liu,Shouyang Wang   2016-10-21
(47)废物处理方式选择对分行业绿色产品价格影响的评价模型及应用   中国投入产出学会第十届年会   刘秀丽   2016-08-19
(48)基于投入产出模型的营改增对行业税负的影响研究   中国投入产出学会第十届年会   张标,刘秀丽   2016-08-19
(49)A method to identify key sectors and their feedback loops for a certain industry in one economy and its application in the evaluation of the role of real estate industry in Chicago   Xiuli Liu, Geoffrey Hewings   2016-07-04
(50)Uncovering the Structural Transformation of the Chicago Economy Using Feedback Loop Analysis   Xiuli Liu, Geoffrey J. D. Hewing   2016-01-14
(51)Using Average Propagation Lengths to Identify the Structural Change in the Chinese Economy,   Zhuozhuo Tu, Xiuli Liu   2016-01-14
(52)Impact of Recycled Water Price Adjustment on Price Level in China   Zou Qingrong, Xiuli LIU   2016-01-13
(53)Identification Change of Economic Interactions among Sectors for Chicago Economy Using Feedback Loop Analysis   Xiuli Liu   2015-11-11
(54)Double Filtering Method and Its Application: Skeleton Industrial Structure Development of China, Japan and USA   Xiuli Liu   2015-02-23
(55)Calculate and Forecast Shadow Prices of Kinds of Consumption Water in China and its Nine Major River Basins   Xiuli Liu   2014-11-11
(56)What Impact Water Use Efficiency A Factor Decomposing Model and Its Application in Beijing   兩岸節能減碳策略研討會   Xiuli Liu Hewings Geoffrey Chen Xikang Shouyang Wang   2014-08-21
(57)Research on Regional Comprehensive Production Capacity of Hog Industry in China with the Constraints of Resources and Environment   Xiaozhen Liang Xiuli Liu Fengmei Yang   2014-04-24
(58)A grey neural network and input-output combined forecasting model and its application in primary energy related CO2 emissions estimation by sector in China   Xiuli Liu, Shouyang Wang, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings   2013-02-15
(59)By Sector Water Consumption Evaluation and an Improved LMDI: A case Study in Beijing, China   Xiuli Liu, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings ,Xikang Chen, Shouyang Wang   2012-11-07
(60)Assessing the economic and environment impacts of mitigating water consumption and pollution strategies with an input-output model in Beijing, China   xiuli liu   2012-06-24
(61)Water Consumption and Economy Analysis Integrated Model   xiuli liu   2012-05-27
(62)The economic impacts of dumping and dumping extent change on importing country   Xiuli Liu   2011-07-02
(63)A Computable Input-Output Price Pass-Through Time Delay Model   Han Yijie, Liu Xiuli   2011-06-12
(64)Grey Neural Network and Input-Output Combined Forecasting Model and its Application in 2011 Sub-sector Energy-related Carbon Dioxide Emissions Estimation in China   Xiuli Liu, Geoffrey Hewings   2011-06-12
(65)A Kind of Product Green Price Calculation Model Based on Input-Output Analysis   Xiuli Liu ,Yijie Han, Cui Zou   2011-05-28
(66)Grey Neural Network and Input-Output Combined Forecasting Model and its Application in Sub-sector Energy-related Carbon Dioxide Emissions Estimation in China   xiuli liu   2010-10-10
(67)我国猪肉价格波动对其他部门价格及CPI的波及影响测算   全国现代农业与信息智能分析预警学术研讨会   韩一杰,刘秀丽   2010-09-16
(68)金融危机背景下我国居民消费潜力、经济增长、投资效应及其资源环境影响的测算   第8届中国投入产出会议   刘秀丽,祝坤福,王会娟,夏炎,段玉婉,韩一杰   2010-08-19
(69)2010 Chinese Household Consumption Potential And Its Pulling Effect Evaluation   Xiuli Liu, Xikang Chen, Shouyang Wang   2010-07-21
(70)2010 Chinese Household Consumption Potential And Its Pulling Effect Evaluation   Xiuli Liu, Xikang Chen, Shouyang Wang   2010-07-21
(71)Evaluating Chinese Household Consumption Potential, Their Export Replacement Capacity and Pulling Effect on Chinese Economic System amid the 2008 World Financial Crisis   Xiuli Liu   2010-06-20
(72)Evaluation on Rural Residents Consumption Potential, Their Export Replacement Capacity and Pulling Effect on Chinese Economic System    Liu Xiuli, Hewings Geoffrey, Chen Xikang, Wang Shouyang   2009-07-13
(73)Evaluation on the impacts of the implementation of building energy efficiency standards on Chinese economic system and environment   Liu Xiuli, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, Wang Shouyang, Yang Cuihong   2009-07-13
(74)An analysis of directly and indirectly related impacts of building energy efficiency standards on Chinese economic and environmental attributes   Xiuli Liu, Shouyang Wang, Cuihong Yang, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings   2009-01-05
(75)The Impacts of the Implementation of Building Energy Efficiency Standards on Chinese Economic System and Environment   Xiuli Liu, Shouyang Wang, Cuihong Yang, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings   2008-10-20
(76) Evaluating coal and oil shadow prices in China   Hongxia Zhang, Xiuli Liu   2008-10-20
(77)Calculate and Forecast Shadow Price of Water Resource In China and Its Nine Major River Basins   Liu Xiuli, Chen Xikang, Li Jinghua, Zhang Hongxia   2007-07-01
(78)The RD Inter-industry Spillover Change in China: on the analysis of 1997 and 2002 IO tables of China   Hongxia Zhang, Xiuli Liu   2007-07-01
(79)The Nonlinear Important Coefficients Input-Holding-Output Model   Liu Xiuli ,Chen Xikang   2005-06-27
(80)CPE-IHO Model to Calculate the Direct, Complete and Conjunct Impact of Unfair Importation on Import Country’s Economy   xiuli liu   2005-06-27

个人简介

刘秀丽,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院研究员、博士生导师,经济分析与预测科学研究室主任、系统科学研究所第二党支部书记,University of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignNew York University高级访问学者,国家科技进步二等奖、大禹水利科学技术一等奖、华夏建设科学技术一等奖、北京市科学技术一等奖、Award for Intellectual Contributions to Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, Illinois, USA,中国决策科学青年科技奖等重要奖项获得者、国家 ***领军人才。研究领域为宏观经济-资源-环境-人口系统建模与预测、投入产出分析与大数据耦合技术、政策仿真与决策支持等。已承担国家自然科学基金项目、科学院重点研发项目、水利部、住建部重大项目等33项,是其中7项的主持人,9项的子课题负责人。在Economic Systems Research, Energy, Water Resources Management, Desalination, Journal of Cleaner Production等国内外重要期刊上发表论文100余篇,其中60余篇为第一并通讯作者。独立或一作出版英文和中文专著4部。已向中办和国办提交主笔的政策研究报告70余篇,得到国家主要领导人习近平、李克强等的批示60余次,相关建议被纳入中央文件和国家发展规划中,有效支持了国家相关部门的科学决策。目前兼任中国投入产出学会副秘书长与常务理事、中国系统工程学会系统理论专业委员会委员、水利系统工程学会专业委员会委员、中国运筹学会理事、中国投入产出与大数据研究会副会长等。是国际投入产出学会、北美区域经济学会、美国经济学会、国际水资源学会等的会员。担任多个国内外期刊的编委和审稿人。