基本信息
刘星才 男 硕导 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
电子邮件： xingcailiu@igsnrr.ac.cn
通信地址： 北京市朝阳区大屯路甲11号
邮政编码： 100101
电子邮件： xingcailiu@igsnrr.ac.cn
通信地址： 北京市朝阳区大屯路甲11号
邮政编码： 100101
招生信息
招生专业
070501-自然地理学
招生方向
水文学与水资源
全球水文模拟
极端水文气候事件
全球水文模拟
极端水文气候事件
教育背景
2008-09--2011-07 北京师范大学 博士
2005-09--2008-07 南京大学 硕士
2001-09--2005-07 内蒙古大学 本科
2005-09--2008-07 南京大学 硕士
2001-09--2005-07 内蒙古大学 本科
学历
研究生
学位
博士
工作经历
工作简历
2019-12~现在, 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 副研究员
2018-03~2019-03,瑞士联邦水科学和技术研究所（EAWAG/ETH）, 访问学者
2011-07~2019-12,中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 助理研究员
2018-03~2019-03,瑞士联邦水科学和技术研究所（EAWAG/ETH）, 访问学者
2011-07~2019-12,中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 助理研究员
教授课程
气候风险与可持续水管理
出版信息
发表论文
（1） Reliable precipitation nowcasting using probabilistic diffusion models, Environmental Research Letters, 2024, 第 9 作者 通讯作者
（2） A Novel Strategy for Automatic Selection of Cross-Basin Data to Improve Local Machine Learning-Based Runoff Models, Water Resources Research, 2024, 第 2 作者 通讯作者
（3） Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change, Earth's Future, 2022, 第 1 作者 通讯作者
（4） Hydrological evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based rainfall estimates over the Upper Tekeze Basin, Ethiopia, Hydrology Research, 2022, 第 2 作者 通讯作者
（5） Intra-Annual Variation of High and Low-Flow Extremes Associated With Land Use and Climate Change in the Upper Tekeze of the Nile River Basin, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2022, 第 2 作者 通讯作者
（6） Climate change and water security in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, Geography and Sustainability, 2022, 第 2 作者
（7） Global Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Green Water in Crop Production, Water Resources Research, 2022, 第 2 作者
（8） 1961—2019年辽宁省高温天气变化特征, Variations of high temperature from 1961 to 2019 in Liaoning Province, China, 应用生态学报, 2021,
（9） GRACE Satellites Enable Long-Lead Forecasts of Mountain Contributions to Streamflow in the Low-Flow Season, REMOTE SENSING, 2021, 第 1 作者
（10） Quantifying the contribution of climate and underlying surface changes to alpine runoff alterations associated with glacier melting, HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2021,
（11） Environmental flow requirements largely reshape global surface water scarcity assessment, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2021,
（12） Editorial: Understanding Hydrological Extremes and Their Impact in a Changing Climate: Observations, Modeling and Attribution, FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE, 2021,
（13） Drought: Progress in broadening its understanding, WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-WATER, 2020,
（14） 气候变化对澜湄流域上下游水资源合作潜力的影响, Impact of climate change on water resource cooperation between the upstream and downstream of the Lancang-Mekong River basin, 气候变化研究进展, 2020,
（15） Reductions in Labor Capacity from Intensified Heat Stress in China under Future Climate Change, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH, 2020,
（16） Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios, ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, 2020,
（17） Improving Princeton Forcing Dataset over Iran Using the Delta-Ratio Method, WATER, 2020,
（18） Impacts of Climate Change and Reservoir Operation on Streamflow and Flood Characteristics in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin, JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2020,
（19） Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa, EARTHS FUTURE, 2020,
（20） “亚洲水塔”变化对下游水资源的连锁效应, Cascading Impacts of Asian Water Tower Change on Downstream Water Systems, 中国科学院院刊, 2019,
（21） Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience, EARTH-SCIENCE REVIEWS, 2019,
（22） Exploring the value of machine learning for weighted multi-model combination of an ensemble of global hydrological models, ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING AND SOFTWARE, 2019, 第 7 作者
（23） The influence of groundwater representation on hydrological simulation and its assessment using satellite-based water storage variation, HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2019,
（24） Moisture source changes contributed to different precipitation changes over the northern and southern tibetan plateau, JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2019,
（25） Greening Implication Inferred from Vegetation Dynamics Interacted with Climate Change and Human Activities over the Southeast Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, REMOTE SENSING, 2019,
（26） Understanding the Water-Food-Energy Nexus for Supporting Sustainable Food Production and Conserving Hydropower Potential in China, FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, 2019,
（27） Exploring the value of machine learning for weighted multi-model combination of an ensemble of global hydrological models, ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, 2019,
（28） 青藏高原河川径流变化及其影响研究进展, Streamflow change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its impacts, 科学通报, 2019,
（29） The asymmetric impact of abundant preceding rainfall on heat stress in low latitudes, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019,
（30） Multimodel assessments of human and climate impacts on mean annual streamflow in china, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2019,
（31） A Spatially Explicit Assessment of Growing Water Stress in China From the Past to the Future, EARTHS FUTURE, 2019,
（32） 陆地水循环过程的综合集成与模拟, Integrated Water Systems Model for Terrestrial Water Cycle Simulation, 地球科学进展, 2019,
（33） Nonlinearity of Runoff Response to Global Mean Temperature Change Over Major Global River Basins, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018,
（34） 遥感陆地水循环的进展与展望, Remote Sensing of the Terrestrial Water Cycle:Progress and Perspectives, 武汉大学学报:信息科学版, 2018,
（35） 气候变化下中国未来综合环境风险区划研究, Regionalization of Integrated Environmental Risk of China Under Future Climate Change, 地理科学, 2018,
（36） Projected Changes in Extreme High Temperature and Heat Stress in China, JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH, 2018,
（37） 水文学研究进展与展望, Progress and prospect of hydrological sciences, 地理科学进展, 2018,
（38） Projected Changes in Extreme High Temperature and Heat Stress in China, Projected Changes in Extreme High Temperature and Heat Stress in China, 气象学报：英文版, 2018, 第 1 作者
（39） On the Dominant Factor Controlling Seasonal Hydrological Forecast Skill in China, WATER, 2017,
（40） Spatially distinct effects of preceding precipitation on heat stress over eastern China, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017,
（41） Water scarcity under various socio-economic pathways and its potential effects on food production in the Yellow River basin, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2017,
（42） Evaluation of satellite-based evapotranspiration estimates in China, JOURNAL OF APPLIED REMOTE SENSING, 2017,
（43） Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017,
（44） Tracing changes in atmospheric moisture supply to the drying Southwest China, ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2017,
（45） Soil Moisture Drought Monitoring and Forecasting Using Satellite and Climate Model Data over Southwestern China, JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2017,
（46） Towards improvement of grey water footprint assessment: With an illustration for global maize cultivation, JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2017,
（47） Projected impacts of climate change on hydropower potential in China, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2016,
（48） Risk and contributing factors of ecosystem shifts over naturally vegetated land under climate change in China, SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2016,
（49） Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting:Progress and perspectives, Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting: Progress and perspectives, Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2016, 第 8 作者
（50） 人类用水活动对大尺度陆地水循环的影响, Impacts of Human Water Use on the Large-scale Terrestrial Water Cycle, 地球科学进展, 2015,
（51） 流域一、二级水生态分区技术及在辽河流域的应, 水利水电科技进展, 2015,
（52） Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change, PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2014,
（53） Effects of surface wind speed decline on modeled hydrological conditions in China, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2014,
（54） Spatiotemporal analysis of ground-based woody plant leafing in response to temperature in temperate eastern China, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY, 2014,
（2） A Novel Strategy for Automatic Selection of Cross-Basin Data to Improve Local Machine Learning-Based Runoff Models, Water Resources Research, 2024, 第 2 作者 通讯作者
（3） Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change, Earth's Future, 2022, 第 1 作者 通讯作者
（4） Hydrological evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based rainfall estimates over the Upper Tekeze Basin, Ethiopia, Hydrology Research, 2022, 第 2 作者 通讯作者
（5） Intra-Annual Variation of High and Low-Flow Extremes Associated With Land Use and Climate Change in the Upper Tekeze of the Nile River Basin, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2022, 第 2 作者 通讯作者
（6） Climate change and water security in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, Geography and Sustainability, 2022, 第 2 作者
（7） Global Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Green Water in Crop Production, Water Resources Research, 2022, 第 2 作者
（8） 1961—2019年辽宁省高温天气变化特征, Variations of high temperature from 1961 to 2019 in Liaoning Province, China, 应用生态学报, 2021,
（9） GRACE Satellites Enable Long-Lead Forecasts of Mountain Contributions to Streamflow in the Low-Flow Season, REMOTE SENSING, 2021, 第 1 作者
（10） Quantifying the contribution of climate and underlying surface changes to alpine runoff alterations associated with glacier melting, HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2021,
（11） Environmental flow requirements largely reshape global surface water scarcity assessment, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2021,
（12） Editorial: Understanding Hydrological Extremes and Their Impact in a Changing Climate: Observations, Modeling and Attribution, FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE, 2021,
（13） Drought: Progress in broadening its understanding, WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-WATER, 2020,
（14） 气候变化对澜湄流域上下游水资源合作潜力的影响, Impact of climate change on water resource cooperation between the upstream and downstream of the Lancang-Mekong River basin, 气候变化研究进展, 2020,
（15） Reductions in Labor Capacity from Intensified Heat Stress in China under Future Climate Change, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH, 2020,
（16） Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios, ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, 2020,
（17） Improving Princeton Forcing Dataset over Iran Using the Delta-Ratio Method, WATER, 2020,
（18） Impacts of Climate Change and Reservoir Operation on Streamflow and Flood Characteristics in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin, JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2020,
（19） Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa, EARTHS FUTURE, 2020,
（20） “亚洲水塔”变化对下游水资源的连锁效应, Cascading Impacts of Asian Water Tower Change on Downstream Water Systems, 中国科学院院刊, 2019,
（21） Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience, EARTH-SCIENCE REVIEWS, 2019,
（22） Exploring the value of machine learning for weighted multi-model combination of an ensemble of global hydrological models, ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING AND SOFTWARE, 2019, 第 7 作者
（23） The influence of groundwater representation on hydrological simulation and its assessment using satellite-based water storage variation, HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2019,
（24） Moisture source changes contributed to different precipitation changes over the northern and southern tibetan plateau, JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2019,
（25） Greening Implication Inferred from Vegetation Dynamics Interacted with Climate Change and Human Activities over the Southeast Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, REMOTE SENSING, 2019,
（26） Understanding the Water-Food-Energy Nexus for Supporting Sustainable Food Production and Conserving Hydropower Potential in China, FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, 2019,
（27） Exploring the value of machine learning for weighted multi-model combination of an ensemble of global hydrological models, ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, 2019,
（28） 青藏高原河川径流变化及其影响研究进展, Streamflow change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its impacts, 科学通报, 2019,
（29） The asymmetric impact of abundant preceding rainfall on heat stress in low latitudes, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019,
（30） Multimodel assessments of human and climate impacts on mean annual streamflow in china, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2019,
（31） A Spatially Explicit Assessment of Growing Water Stress in China From the Past to the Future, EARTHS FUTURE, 2019,
（32） 陆地水循环过程的综合集成与模拟, Integrated Water Systems Model for Terrestrial Water Cycle Simulation, 地球科学进展, 2019,
（33） Nonlinearity of Runoff Response to Global Mean Temperature Change Over Major Global River Basins, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018,
（34） 遥感陆地水循环的进展与展望, Remote Sensing of the Terrestrial Water Cycle:Progress and Perspectives, 武汉大学学报:信息科学版, 2018,
（35） 气候变化下中国未来综合环境风险区划研究, Regionalization of Integrated Environmental Risk of China Under Future Climate Change, 地理科学, 2018,
（36） Projected Changes in Extreme High Temperature and Heat Stress in China, JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH, 2018,
（37） 水文学研究进展与展望, Progress and prospect of hydrological sciences, 地理科学进展, 2018,
（38） Projected Changes in Extreme High Temperature and Heat Stress in China, Projected Changes in Extreme High Temperature and Heat Stress in China, 气象学报：英文版, 2018, 第 1 作者
（39） On the Dominant Factor Controlling Seasonal Hydrological Forecast Skill in China, WATER, 2017,
（40） Spatially distinct effects of preceding precipitation on heat stress over eastern China, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017,
（41） Water scarcity under various socio-economic pathways and its potential effects on food production in the Yellow River basin, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2017,
（42） Evaluation of satellite-based evapotranspiration estimates in China, JOURNAL OF APPLIED REMOTE SENSING, 2017,
（43） Multimodel uncertainty changes in simulated river flows induced by human impact parameterizations, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017,
（44） Tracing changes in atmospheric moisture supply to the drying Southwest China, ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2017,
（45） Soil Moisture Drought Monitoring and Forecasting Using Satellite and Climate Model Data over Southwestern China, JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2017,
（46） Towards improvement of grey water footprint assessment: With an illustration for global maize cultivation, JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2017,
（47） Projected impacts of climate change on hydropower potential in China, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2016,
（48） Risk and contributing factors of ecosystem shifts over naturally vegetated land under climate change in China, SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2016,
（49） Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting:Progress and perspectives, Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting: Progress and perspectives, Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2016, 第 8 作者
（50） 人类用水活动对大尺度陆地水循环的影响, Impacts of Human Water Use on the Large-scale Terrestrial Water Cycle, 地球科学进展, 2015,
（51） 流域一、二级水生态分区技术及在辽河流域的应, 水利水电科技进展, 2015,
（52） Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change, PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2014,
（53） Effects of surface wind speed decline on modeled hydrological conditions in China, HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2014,
（54） Spatiotemporal analysis of ground-based woody plant leafing in response to temperature in temperate eastern China, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY, 2014,
发表著作
（1） 辽河流域环境要素与生态格局演变及其水生态效应, 中国环境科学出版社, 2016-08, 第 2 作者
科研活动
科研项目
（ 1 ） 基于代表性浓度路径和共享社会经济路径的全球人类需水量预估研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2023-01--2026-12
（ 2 ） 水资源承载力与安全保障, 负责人, 国家任务, 2021-11--2024-10
（ 3 ） 区域极端气候事件及社会经济风险变化预估, 负责人, 国家任务, 2020-01--2024-12
（ 4 ） 全球变化背景下极端水文事件的模拟和评估研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2019-01--2022-12
（ 5 ） 陆地水循环过程的综合集成与模拟, 负责人, 国家任务, 2018-01--2022-12
（ 6 ） 大尺度陆面过程模型与作物模型耦合研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2013-01--2015-12
（ 2 ） 水资源承载力与安全保障, 负责人, 国家任务, 2021-11--2024-10
（ 3 ） 区域极端气候事件及社会经济风险变化预估, 负责人, 国家任务, 2020-01--2024-12
（ 4 ） 全球变化背景下极端水文事件的模拟和评估研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2019-01--2022-12
（ 5 ） 陆地水循环过程的综合集成与模拟, 负责人, 国家任务, 2018-01--2022-12
（ 6 ） 大尺度陆面过程模型与作物模型耦合研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2013-01--2015-12
指导学生
已指导学生
奈聪毅 硕士研究生 070501-自然地理学
现指导学生
李灵泠 硕士研究生 070501-自然地理学
孙文锦 硕士研究生 085700-资源与环境