基本信息
陈活泼  男  博导  中国科学院大气物理研究所
电子邮件: chenhuopo@mail.iap.ac.cn
通信地址: 北京市朝阳区华严里40号中科院大气物理研究所
邮政编码: 100029

招生信息

   
招生专业
070601-气象学
招生方向
极端气候变化,短期气候预测

教育背景

2006-09--2012-01   中国科学院大气物理研究所   理学博士
2002-09--2006-06   兰州大学   理学学士

工作经历

   
工作简历
2018-03~现在, 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 研究员
2014-01~现在, 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 副研究员
2012-01~2014-01,中国科学院大气物理研究所, 助理研究员
2006-09~2012-01,中国科学院大气物理研究所, 理学博士
2002-09~2006-06,兰州大学, 理学学士

专利与奖励

   
奖励信息
(1) 短期气候预测的研制与应用, 一等奖, 其他, 2017
(2) 第十六届涂长望青年气象科技奖, 二等奖, 国家级, 2015
(3) 中国科学院院长特别奖, 特等奖, 院级, 2012
(4) 中国科学院大气物理研究所优秀博士学位论文, , 研究所(学校), 2012

出版信息

   
发表论文
(1) Significant Increase of the Global Population Exposure to Increased Precipitation Extremes in the Future, EARTHS FUTURE, 2021, 通讯作者
(2) Interannual variation in summer extreme precipitation over Southwestern China and the possible associated mechanisms, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 通讯作者
(3) Changes in the spatial-temporal characteristics of daily snowfall events over the Eurasian continent from 1980 to 2019, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 通讯作者
(4) What induces the interdecadal shift of the dipole patterns of summer precipitation trends over the Tibetan Plateau?, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 通讯作者
(5) The Unstable Relationship Between the Precipitation Dipole Pattern in the Tibetan Plateau and Summer NAO, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2021, 通讯作者
(6) Anthropogenic influence has increased climate extreme occurrence over China, SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2021, 通讯作者
(7) Future changes in precipitation extremes across China based on CMIP6 models, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 通讯作者
(8) A Detectable Anthropogenic Shift Toward Intensified Summer Hot Drought Events Over Northeastern China, EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE, 2020, 通讯作者
(9) The Impact of Preceding Spring Antarctic Oscillation on the Variations of Lake Ice Phenology over the Tibetan Plateau, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 通讯作者
(10) North Atlantic Modulation of Interdecadal Variations in Hot Drought Events over Northeastern China, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 通讯作者
(11) Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 models in simulating climate extremes, SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2020, 通讯作者
(12) Increased population exposure to precipitation extremes under future warmer climates, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 通讯作者
(13) Changes in Lake Area in the Inner Mongolian Plateau under Climate Change: The Role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Arctic Sea Ice, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 通讯作者
(14) Modulation of the Kara Sea Ice Variation on the Ice Freeze-Up Time in Lake Qinghai, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 通讯作者
(15) Anthropogenic fine particulate matter pollution will be exacerbated in eastern China due to 21st century GHG warming, 2019, 
(16) The advanced South Asian monsoon onset accelerates lake expansion over the Tibetan Plateau, SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2019, 通讯作者
(17) Increased population exposure to extreme droughts in China due to 0.5 degrees C of additional warming, 2019, 
(18) Can Barents Sea Ice Decline in Spring Enhance Summer Hot Drought Events over Northeastern China?, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 通讯作者
(19) Projected changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Silk Road Economic Belt regions by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 multi-model ensembles, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 第 2 作者
(20) Future precipitation changes over China under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming targets by using CORDEX regional climate models, Science of the Total Environment, 2018, 通讯作者
(21) Projected changes in climate extremes in China in a 1.5C warmer world, International Journal of Climatology, 2018, 第 1 作者
(22) Contribution of human influence to increased daily precipitation extremes over China, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 通讯作者
(23) Characterizing present and future drought changes over eastern China, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 通讯作者
(24) Anthropogenic warming has caused hot droughts more frequently in China, JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2017, 
(25) Understanding severe winter haze events in the North China Plain in 2014: roles of climate anomalies, ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2017, 
(26) Changes in clustered extreme precipitation events in South China and associated atmospheric circulations, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2016, 通讯作者
(27) Understanding the recent trend of haze pollution in eastern China: roles of climate change, ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2016, 第 2 作者
(28) Warming over the North Pacific can intensify snow events in Northeast China, Warming over the North Pacific can intensify snow events in Northeast China, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2016, 通讯作者
(29) Changes in climate extreme events in China associated with warming, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2015, 通讯作者
(30) Arctic Sea Ice Decline Intensified Haze Pollution in Eastern China, Arctic Sea Ice Decline Intensified Haze Pollution in Eastern China, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2015, 第 2 作者
(31) Haze Days in North China and the associated atmospheric circulations based on daily visibility data from 1960 to 2012, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2015, 通讯作者
(32) Changes in Drought Characteristics over China Using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 通讯作者
(33) Recent changes in summer precipitation in Northeast China and the background circulation, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2015, 第 2 作者
(34) Assessing model performance of climate extremes in China: an intercomparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3, CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2015, 通讯作者
(35) Evaluation of a high-resolution historical simulation over China: climatology and extremes, CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2015, 第 3 作者
(36) Drought Response to Air Temperature Change over China on the Centennial Scale, Drought Response to Air Temperature Change over China on the Centennial Scale, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2015, 通讯作者
(37) Projection and uncertainty analysis of global precipitation-related extremes using CMIP5 models, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2014, 通讯作者
(38) Sensitivity of Climate Changes to CO2 Emissions in China, Sensitivity of Climate Changes to CO2 Emissions in China, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2014, 通讯作者
(39) Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China:Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models, Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China:Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models, 大气和海洋科学快报:英文版, 2014, 
(40) CMIP5模式对21世纪末中国极端降水事件变化的预估, 科学通报, 2013, 第 1 作者
(41) How large precipitation change over global monsoon regions by CMIP5 models, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 2013, 第 1 作者
(42) Future Changes of Drought and Flood Events in China under a Global Warming Scenario, Future Changes of Drought and Flood Events in China under a Global Warming Scenario, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2013, 通讯作者
(43) Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario, METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, 2013, 通讯作者
(44) A Statistical Downscaling Model for Forecasting Summer Rainfall in China from DEMETER Hindcast Datasets, WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2012, 第 1 作者
(45) Decadal Features of Heavy Rainfall Events in Eastern China, ACTA METEOROLOGICA SINICA, 2012, 第 1 作者
(46) 新疆夏季降水年代际转型的归因分析, Possible mechanism for the interdecadal change of Xinjiang summer precipitation, 地球物理学报, 2012, 第 1 作者
(47) Extreme Climate in China: Facts, Simulation and Projection, METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT, 2012, 
(48) A statistical downscaling scheme to improve global precipitation forecasting, METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, 2012, 第 2 作者
(49) Improving the Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon: New Approaches, WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2012, 第 3 作者
(50) Climate control for southeastern China moisture and precipitation: Indian or East Asian monsoon?, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2012, 第 2 作者
(51) CGCM projections of heavy rainfall events in China, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2012, 通讯作者
(52) 我国夏季降水及相关大气环流场未来变化的预估及不确定性分析, The Projection and Uncertainty Analysis of Summer Precipitation in China and the Variations of Associated Atmospheric Circulation Field, 气候与环境研究, 2012, 第 1 作者
(53) DEMETER耦合气候模式对西北太平洋台风活动及其影响因子的预测效能, 科学通报, 2011, 第 2 作者
(54) 陆面过程对2007年淮河流域强降水数值预报的影响分析, ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF LAND SURFACE PROCESS ON NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICATION OF INTENSIVE SUMMER RAINFALL OVER HUAI RIVER IN 2007, 热带气象学报, 2010, 第 3 作者
(55) Spatial-temporal features of intense snowfall events in china and their possible change, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2010, 第 4 作者
(56) How the "Best" Models Project the Future Precipitation Change in China, How the "Best" Models Project the Future Precipitation Change in China, 大气科学进展:英文版, 2009, 第 1 作者

科研活动

   
科研项目
( 1 ) 中国科学院青年创新促进会, 负责人, 中国科学院计划, 2013-01--2016-12
( 2 ) 中国干旱空间格局变化的归因分析与预估研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2014-01--2016-12
( 3 ) 青藏高原隆升的区域和全球环境效应的数值模拟研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2012-01--2016-12
( 4 ) 中高纬海洋异常对东亚冬季气候的影响及其在预测中的应用, 参与, 国家任务, 2013-01--2015-12
( 5 ) 全球变化与环境风险关系及其适应性范式研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2012-01--2016-12
( 6 ) 全球变化人口与经济系统风险形成机制及评估研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2016-06--2021-05
( 7 ) 中国北方地区极端气候的变化及成因研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2016-06--2021-05
( 8 ) 极端气候变化及机制研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2020-01--2022-12
( 9 ) 人类活动影响中国干旱变化的量化归因与机制研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2021-01--2024-12