Industrial Ecology

Dynamic Material Flow Analysis

Sustainable Resources Management

Material-Energy Nexus

Sustainability of Emerging Technologies

Metals Criticality Assessment

   

0705Z1-自然资源学
0830Z1-环境经济与环境管理
083001-环境科学

工业生态
, 动态物质流, 集成建模, 可持续资源管理
材料-能源关联

Professor, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China.

Visiting Senior Research Fellow, Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for resources and Environment, Ministry of Natural Resources.

Associate Research Scientist (Faculty), Centre for Industrial Ecology, School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, USA, 2013–2017.

Postdoctoral Research Associate, Centre for Industrial Ecology, School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, USA, 2011–2013.

Postdoctoral Research Associate, Centre of Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, UK, 2007–2010.

Research Assistant, Department of Industrial Ecology, Institute of Environmental Sciences (CML), Le­i­den Unive­rsi­ty, Netherlands, 2001–2007.

环境与自然资源系统建模
环境与自然资源的系统建模

1. Ding Li, Lei Shen, Shuai Zhong, Ayman Elshkaki, Xinming Li., 2022. Spatial-Temporal Evolution Patterns of Material, Energy and Carbon Emission Nexus for Power Generation Infrastructure in China. Resources Conservation and Recycling. Accepted

2.    Elshkaki, A., Shen, L., 2022. Energy Transition towards Carbon Neutrality. Energies, 15, 4967

3.  Zhang, Z., Ou, G., Elshkaki, A., Liu, R., 2022. Evaluation of regional carrying capacity under economic social-2 resource-environment complex system: A case study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Sustainability, 14, 12, 7117.

4. Muhirwa, F., Shen, L., Elshkaki, A., Velempinie, K., Hirwa, H., 2022. Tracing attributes and scope of research and applied projects in Africa’s water-energy-food nexus implementations: A review. Environmental Science and Policy – 136, 33-45

5.  Muhirwa, F., Shen, L., Elshkaki, A., Zhong, S., Hu, S., Hirwa, H., Chiaka, J., Umurarishavu, F., Mulinga, N., 2022. Ecological balance emerges in implementing the water-energy-food security nexus in well developed countries in Africa. Science of the Total Environment, 833, 154999.

6. Zhang, Z., Elshkaki, A., 2022. An analysis of the supply-side factors of geological exploration in China based on provincial panel data between 1999-2017. Resources Policy, 76, 102589

7. Elshkaki, A., 2021. Sustainability of emerging energy and transportation technologies impacted by the coexistence of minerals in nature. Communications Earth & Environment, 2, 186.

8. Guohua, Y., Elshkaki, A., Xiao, X., 2021. Dynamic Analysis of Future Nickel Demand, Supply, and Associated Materials, Energy, Water, and Carbon Emissions in China. Resources Policy, 74, 102432.

9. Muhirwa, F., Lei, S., Elshkaki, A., Velempini, K., Hirwa, H., Zhong, S., Mbandi, A. M. 2021. Decoupling energy, water, and food resources production from GHG emissions: A footprint perspective review of Africa from 1990-2017. Energies, 14, 19, 6326. 

10. Elshkaki, A., 2021. The Impacts of Material-Energy-Water-Carbon Nexus on the Sustainability of Lighting Technologies. ACS Sustainable Chemistry and Engineering.

11. Zhou, W., Elshkaki,A., Zhong, S., Shen, L., 2021. Study on relative carrying capacity of land resources and its zoning in 31 provinces and regions of China. Sustainability, 13, 3, 1459.

12. Shen, L., Zhong, S., Elshkaki, A., Zhang, H., Zhao, J., 2021. Energy-cement-carbon emission nexus and its implications for future urbanization in China. JSDEWES, 9, 2, 1080354.

13. Elshkaki, A., 2020. Long-term analysis of critical materials in future vehicles electrification in China and their national and global implications. Energy, 202, 117697.

14. Ciacci, L., Fishman, T., Elshkaki, A., Graedel, T.E., Vassura, I., Passarini, F., 2020. Exploring future copper demand, recycling and associated greenhouse gas emissions in the EU-28. Global Environmental Change, 63, 102093.

15. Elshkaki, A., Shen, L., Chen, W-Q., 2020. Material-energy-water nexus: Modelling the long term implications of aluminium demand and supply on global climate change up to 2050. Environmental Research, 181, 108964.

16. Zhang, H., Shen, L., Zhong, S., Elshkaki, A., 2020. Coal Resource and Industrial Structure Nexus in Energy-Rich Area: The Case of the Contiguous Area of Shanxi and Shaanxi Provinces, and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China. Resources Policy, 66, 101646.

17. Zhang, H., Shen, L., Zhong, S., Elshkaki, A., 2020. Economic Structure Transformation and Low-Carbon Development in Energy-Rich Cities: The Case of the Contiguous Area of Shanxi and Shaanxi Provinces, and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China. Sustainability, 12, 1875.

18. Elshkaki, A., 2019. Materials, energy, water, and emissions nexus impacts on the future contribution of PV solar technologies to global energy scenarios. Nature Scientific Reports, 9, 19238. 

19. Elshkaki, A., 2019. Material-energy-water-carbon nexus in China’s electricity generation system up to 2050. Energy, 189, 116355.

20. Elshkaki, A., Shen, L., 2019. Energy-material nexus: The impacts of national and international energy scenarios on critical metals use in China up to 2050 and their global implications. Energy, 180, 903-917.

21. Elshkaki, A., Graedel, T.E., Ciacci, L., Reck, B., 2018. Resource Demand Scenarios for the Major Metals. Environmental Science and Technology, 52, 5, 2491-2497.
22. Zhou, C., Elshkaki, A., Graedel, T.E., 2018. Global human appropriation of net primary production and associated resource decoupling: 2010-2050. Environmental Science and Technology, 52, 3, 1208-1215.
23. Elshkaki, A., Graedel, T.E., Reck, B. 2017. Anthropogenic nickel supply, demand, and associated energy and water use. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 125, 300-307.  
24. Elshkaki, A., Graedel, T.E., Ciacci, L., Reck, B. 2016. Copper demand, supply, and associated energy use to 2050. Global Environmental Change, 39, 305-315.
25. Elshkaki, A., and Graedel, T.E. 2015. Solar cell metals and their hosts: A tale of oversupply and undersupply. Applied Energy, 158, 167-177.
26. Elshkaki, A., and Graedel, T.E. 2014. Dysprosium, the balance problem and wind power technology. Applied Energy, 136, 548-559.
27. Elshkaki, A., and Graedel, T.E. 2013. Dynamic analysis of the global metals flows and stocks in electricity generation technologies. Cleaner Production, 59, 260-273.
28. Elshkaki, A. 2013. An analysis of future platinum resources, emissions, and waste streams using a system dynamic model of its intentional and non-intentional flows and stocks. Resources Policy, 38, 241-251.
29. Oxley, T., Elshkaki, A., Kwiatkowski, L., Castillo, A., Scarbrough, T., and ApSimon, H. 2012. Pollution abatement from road transport: Cross-sectoral implications, Climate Co-benefits and behavioural change. Environmental Science and Policy, 19-20, 16-32.
30. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. Van, Timmermans, V. 2009. Long term consequences of non-intentional flows of substances: Modelling non-intentional flows of lead in the Dutch economic system and evaluating their environmental consequences. Waste Management, 29, 1916-1928.
31. Oxley, T., Valiantis, M., Elshkaki, A., and ApSimon H. M. 2009. Background, Road and Urban Transport modelling of Air quality Limit values (The BRUTAL model). Environmental Modelling and Software, 24, 1036-1050.
32. Elshkaki, A. 2008. Reply to: A discussion of the paper, Elshkaki et al., ‘‘Dynamic stock modelling: a method for the identification and estimation of future waste streams and emissions based on past production and product stock characteristics’’, Energy, 33, 834-835.
33. Guinee, J., Heijungs, R., Kleijn, R., Voet, E. van der, Koning, A., Oers, L. van, Elshkaki, A., Huele, R., Suh, S., and Sleeswijk, A. W. 2006. Human and ecological life cycle tools for the integrated assessment of systems. The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 11, 19-28.
34. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. Van, and Timmermans, V. 2005. Dynamic Stock modelling: A method for the identification and estimation of future waste streams and emissions based on past production and product stock characteristics. Energy, 30, 1353-1363.
35. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. Van, and Timmermans, V. 2004. The environmental and economic consequences of the developments of lead stocks in the Dutch economic system. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 42, 133-154.
36. Elshkaki, A., 2014. Material Energy Nexus: The Impacts of Metals Supply and Demand on the Future Solar Power Technologies. In Stephen Bailey (Editor). Solar Power: Technologies, Environmental Impacts and Future Prospects. Nova Science Publisher, ISBN: 978-1-63321-317-3.
37. Graedel, T.E., Elshkaki, A., and Voet, E. van der, 2014. Entangled Circles: Energy and Its Resource Connections. In Kramer G.J. and Vermeer B. (Editors). The colours of energy: Essays on the future of our energy system. Shell International B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands, ISBN: 978-90-9028343-2.
38. Elshkaki A. 2007. System analysis of stock buffering - Development of a dynamic substance flow-stock model for the identification and estimation of future resources, waste streams and emissions. Ph.D. Thesis. Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands, ISBN 978-90-9022084-0.
39.  Elshkaki, A., and Voet, E. van der. 2006. The consequences of the use of platinum in new technologies on its availability and on other metal cycles. In Loeffe, C. V., (Editor). Conservation and Recycling of Resources: New Research. Nova Science Publisher, ISBN 1-60021-125-9.
40. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. van, and Timmermans, V. 2004. Dynamic Stock modelling: A method for the identification and estimation of future waste streams and emissions based on past production and product stock characteristics. In Afgan, N.H., Bogdan, Z. and Duic, N. (Editors). Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems. A.A. Balkema Publishers, ISBN 90-5809-662-9. 
41. Shen, L., Zhong, S., Elshkaki, A., Zhang, H., 2019. Energy-cement-carbon emission nexus and its implications for future urbanization in China. Proceeding of the 14^th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems. Dubrovnik, Croatia.
42. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. van, and Timmermans, V. 2002. The Economy of chemicals: combing substance characteristics with socio-economic information in a dynamic SFA model. Proceeding of the Fifth International Conference on EcoBalance, Tsukuba, Japan.  
43. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. van, and Timmermans, V. 2002. Dynamic Stock modelling: A method for the identification and estimation of future waste streams and emissions based on past production and product stock characteristics. Proceeding of the first Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems. Dubrovnik, Croatia. 
44. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. Van, Timmermans, V. Claeys, P. and Geerken, T., 2004. Development of a dynamic model for substance flow analysis: Part 1 – General stock model. Report No.  2004/IMS/R/292.  Belgium: Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO).
45. Elshkaki, A., Voet, E. van der, Holderbeke, M. Van, Timmermans, V. Claeys, P. and Geerken, T., 2004. Development of a dynamic model for substance flow analysis: Part 2 – Integration of stock and flow model. Report No. 2004/IMS/R/293. Belgium: Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO).
46. Kleijn, R., Elshkaki, A., Koning, de A., Tukker, A., 2001. Literature Study on Degradation Products of Known Emissions. CML working paper, Leiden University, The Netherlands.
47. Kleijn, R., Elshkaki, A., Koning, de A., Tukker, A., 2001. Literature Study on Unknown Organochlorine Compounds in the Environment from Anthropogenic Source. CML working paper, Leiden University, The Netherlands.

[1] Chunyu Song, Zhimin Zhang, Weihua Xu, Ayman Elshkaki. The spatial effect of industrial transfer on carbon emissions under firm location decision:A carbon neutrality perspective. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT. 2023, 330: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117139.
[2] Dandan Zhao, Jialiang Cai, Lei Shen, Ayman Elshkaki, Junguo Liu, Olli Varis. Delivery of energy sustainability: Applications of the "STAR" protocol to the Sustainable Development Goal 7 index and its interaction analysis. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION. 2023, 389: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.135884.
[3] Fu, Jingying, Elshkaki, Ayman, Salvia, Monica, Zhang, Xian, Fan, Jingli. Editorial: Toward carbon neutrality: Spatial planning and sustainable utilization of natural resource. FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE[J]. 2023, 11: http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1127814.
[4] Li, Ding, Shen, Lei, Zhong, Shuai, Elshkaki, Ayman, Li, Xinming. Spatial and temporal evolution patterns of material, energy and carbon emission nexus for power generation infrastructure in China. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING[J]. 2023, 190: 106775-, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106775.
[5] Elshkaki, Ayman. The implications of material and energy efficiencies for the climate change mitigation potential of global energy transition scenarios. ENERGY[J]. 2023, 267: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126596.
[6] Muhirwa, Fabien, Shen, Lei, Elshkaki, Ayman, Chiaka, Jeffrey Chiwuikem, Zhong, Shuai, Bonecke, Eric, Hirwa, Hubert, Seka, Ayalkibet M, Habiyakare, Telesphore, Tuyishimire, Alexandre, Harerimana, Barthelemy. Alert in the dynamics of water-energy-food production in African countries from a nexus perspective. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING[J]. 2023, 194: 106990-, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2023.106990.
[7] Muhirwa, Fabien, Shen, Lei, Elshkaki, Ayman, Hirwa, Hubert, Umuziranenge, Gloriose, Velempini, Kgosietsile. Linking large extractive industries to sustainable development of rural communities at mining sites in Africa: Challenges and pathways. RESOURCES POLICY[J]. 2023, 81: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103322.
[8] Muhirwa, Fabien, Shen, Lei, Elshkaki, Ayman, Velempini, Kgosietsile, Hirwa, Hubert. Tracing attribute and scope of research and applied projects in Africa's water energy food nexus implementation: A review. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICYnull. 2022, 136: 33-45, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.05.012.
[9] Elshkaki, Ayman, Shen, Lei. Energy Transition towards Carbon Neutrality. ENERGIES[J]. 2022, 15(14): https://doaj.org/article/d1f3ff155e4947faaee9e59182e7ef21.
[10] Zhang, Zhimin, Ou, Guoli, Elshkaki, Ayman, Liu, Ruilin. Evaluation of Regional Carrying Capacity under Economic-Social-Resource-Environment Complex System: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. SUSTAINABILITY[J]. 2022, 14(12): https://doaj.org/article/428cdcb13bf64769868dbf03cb874745.
[11] Zhang, Zhimin, Elshkaki, Ayman. An analysis of the supply-side factors of geological exploration in China based on provincial panel data between 1999 and 2017. RESOURCES POLICY[J]. 2022, 76: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102589.
[12] Muhirwa, Fabien, Shen, Lei, Elshkaki, Ayman, Zhong, Shuai, Hu, Shuhan, Hirwa, Hubert, Chiaka, Jeffrey Chiwuikem, Umarishavu, Francoise, Mulinga, Narcisse. Ecological balance emerges in implementing the water-energy-food security nexus in well-developed countries in Africa. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT[J]. 2022, 833: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154999.
[13] Elshkaki, Ayman. Sustainability of emerging energy and transportation technologies is impacted by the coexistence of minerals in nature. COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT[J]. 2021, 2(1): http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00262-z.
[14] Guohua, Yuan, Elshkaki, Ayman, Xiao, Xi. Dynamic analysis of future nickel demand, supply, and associated materials, energy, water, and carbon emissions in China. RESOURCES POLICY[J]. 2021, 74: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102432.
[15] Elshkaki, Ayman. The Impacts of Material-Energy-Water-Carbon Nexus on the Sustainability of Lighting Technologies. ACS SUSTAINABLE CHEMISTRY & ENGINEERING[J]. 2021, 9(11): 4224-4233, http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acssuschemeng.1c00324.
[16] Ayman Elshkaki. Study on relative carrying capacity of land resources and its zoning in 31 provinces and regions of China. Sustainability. 2021, [17] Muhirwa, Fabien, Shen, Lei, Elshkaki, Ayman, Velempini, Kgosietsile, Hirwa, Hubert, Zhong, Shuai, Mbandi, Aderiana Mutheu. Decoupling Energy, Water, and Food Resources Production from GHG Emissions: A Footprint Perspective Review of Africa from 1990 to 2017. ENERGIES[J]. 2021, 14(19): http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14196326.
[18] Shen, Lei, Zhong, Shuai, Elshkaki, Ayman, Zhang, Hongli, Zhao, Jianan. Energy-Cement-Carbon Emission Nexus and its Implications for Future Urbanization in China. JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS-JSDEWES[J]. 2021, 9(2): https://doaj.org/article/14495a0374ab468d8f7136cb8e9d08fb.
[19] Hongli Zhang, Lei Shen, Shuai Zhong, Ayman Elshkaki. Economic Structure Transformation and Low-Carbon Development in Energy-Rich Cities: The Case of the Contiguous Area of Shanxi and Shaanxi Provinces, and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China. SUSTAINABILITY[J]. 2020, 12(5): 14-, https://doaj.org/article/120aa4879a3342eb8c0fd0131b6568c3.
[20] Elshkaki, Ayman. Long-term analysis of critical materials in future vehicles electrification in China and their national and global implications. ENERGY[J]. 2020, 202: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.117697.
[21] Elshkaki, Ayman, Lei, Shen, Chen, WeiQiang. Material-energy-water nexus: Modelling the long term implications of aluminium demand and supply on global climate change up to 2050. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH[J]. 2020, 181: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2019.108964.
[22] Ciacci, L, Fishman, T, Elshkaki, A, Graedel, T E, Vassura, I, Passarini, F. Exploring future copper demand, recycling and associated greenhouse gas emissions in the EU-28. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS[J]. 2020, 63: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102093.
[23] Zhang, Hongli, Shen, Lei, Zhong, Shuai, Elshkaki, Ayman. Coal resource and industrial structure nexus in energy-rich area: The case of the contiguous area of Shanxi and Shaanxi Provinces, and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China. RESOURCES POLICY[J]. 2020, 66: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101646.
[24] Elshkaki, Ayman, Shen, Lei. Energy-material nexus: The impacts of national and international energy scenarios on critical metals use in China up to 2050 and their global implications. ENERGY[J]. 2019, 180: 903-917, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.05.156.
[25] Elshkaki, Ayman. Materials, energy, water, and emissions nexus impacts on the future contribution of PV solar technologies to global energy scenarios. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS[J]. 2019, 9(1): https://doaj.org/article/699055e9d2aa4ac7b1d5c152a3067cd2.
[26] Elshkaki, Ayman. Material-energy-water-carbon nexus in China's electricity generation system up to 2050. ENERGY[J]. 2019, 189: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.116355.
[27] Ding Li, Lei Shen, Shuai Zhong, Ayman Elshkaki, Xinming Li. Spatial and temporal evolution patterns of material, energy and carbon emission nexus for power generation infrastructure in China. RESOURCES, CONSERVATION & RECYCLING. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106775.

   

（ 1 ） 中国-老挝经济通道资源环境调查及国际会议, 负责人, 中国科学院计划, 2021-05--2021-12
（ 2 ） Material-Energy Nexus, 负责人, 其他任务, 2018-08--2021-08

已指导学生

周伟  博士研究生  0705Z1-自然资源学  

现指导学生

李玎  博士研究生  0705Z1-自然资源学  

胡雪玥  博士研究生  0705Z1-自然资源学  

王春盈  博士研究生  0705Z1-自然资源学