气候变化检测归因（气候变化和极端天气气候事件中人类活动影响的检测和贡献估算）、预测预估

——研究区域气候变化和极端天气气候事件的历史演变规律、揭示其中是否有人类活动的影响、量化人类活动有多大的贡献、预测预估未来如何演变

在人类活动影响气温季节性变化的检测归因方面取得重要成果，被Nature、Science、Nature Climate Change、Nature Geoscience、Nature Sustainability、Nature Communication、IPCC第六次评估报告等多次引用。

招博士研究生、硕士研究生

已培养中国科学院院长优秀奖获得者1名、北京市优秀毕业生1名、博士生国家奖学金获得者1名、三好学生标兵1名

070601-气象学

气候变化，极端天气气候事件

2020-02~现在, 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 研究员

2018-03~2020-01,中国科学院大气物理研究所, 项目研究员

2015-10~现在，中国科学院大学，岗位教授，承担研究生教学工作

2012-04~2018-02,中国科学院大气物理研究所, 副研

2009-07~2012-04,中国科学院大气物理研究所, 助研

先后在香港城市大学、加拿大环境部、美国西肯塔基大学、英国东安格利亚大学、美国德州大学奥斯汀分校、英国雷丁大学、英国气象局做访问学者

气候统计方法和应用

   

（1） Anthropogenic Climate Change Amplifies Autumn Heatwave Risks for Children During School Reopening, Weather and Climate Extremes, 2026, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（2） Risk of successive hot-pluvial extremes on crop yield loss over global breadbasket regions, Communications Earth & Environment, 2025, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（3） Attribution of a record-breaking cold event in the historically warmest year of 2023 and assessing future risks, NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE, 2025, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（4） Detection, attribution and projection of changes in the extreme temperature range in the Northern Hemisphere, Advances in Climate Change Research, 2024, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（5） Rapid attribution of the record-breaking heatwave event in North China in June 2023 and future risks, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2024, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（6） Understanding seasonal cycle of daily extreme temperatures based on generalized additive model for location, scale and shape with smoothing spline, International Journal of Climatology, 2024, 第 3 作者
（7） Human influences on spatially compounding flooding and heatwave events in China and future increasing risks, WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES, 2023, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（8） Evaluation of AMIP models from CMIP6 in simulating winter surface air temperature trends over Eurasia during 1998-2012 based on dynamical adjustment, CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2023, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（9） Robust historical and future drying trends in Central Asia evidenced by the latest observation and modeling datasets, ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2023, 第 8 作者
（10） An Updated Review of Event Attribution Approaches, An Updated Review of Event Attribution Approaches, JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH, 2022, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（11） Heavy Rainfall Event in Mid-August 2020 in Southwestern China: Contribution of Anthropogenic Forcings and Atmospheric Circulation, BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2022, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（12） Amplification of the Temperature Seasonality in the Mediterranean Region Under Anthropogenic Climate Change, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2022, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（13） 2021: A Year of Unprecedented Climate Extremes in Eastern Asia, North America, and Europe, 2021: A Year of Unprecedented Climate Extremes in Eastern Asia, North America, and Europe, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2022, 第 5 作者
（14） Extreme temperature indices in Eurasia in a CMIP6 multi-model ensemble: Evaluation and projection, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（15） Conditional attribution of climate change and atmospheric circulation contributing to the record-breaking precipitation and temperature event of summer 2020 in southern China, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2021, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（16） Linear trends in temperature extremes in China, with an emphasis on non-Gaussian and serially dependent characteristics, CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（17） Changes in Temperature Seasonality in China: Human Influences and Internal Variability, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（18） HUMAN INFLUENCE ON THE RECORD-BREAKING COLD EVENT IN JANUARY OF 2016 IN EASTERN CHINA, BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2018, 第 1 作者
（19） Near-Term Projections of Global and Regional Land Mean Temperature Changes Considering Both the Secular Trend and Multidecadal Variability, JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH, 2018, 第 3 作者  通讯作者
（20） Statistical prediction of non-Gaussian climate extremes in urban areas based on the first-order difference method, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（21） Variations and changes of annual precipitation in Central Asia over the last century, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 第 4 作者
（22） An alternative multi-model ensemble mean approach for near-term projection, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 第 2 作者  通讯作者
（23） Twentieth-Century Trends in the Annual Cycle of Temperature across the Northern Hemisphere, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 第 3 作者
（24） Impact of land use/land cover change on changes in surface solar radiation in eastern China since the reform and opening up, THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2016, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（25） Urbanization effects on climatic changes in 24 particular timings of the seasonal cycle in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River, THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2016, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（26） Disentangling the urbanization effect, multi-decadal variability, and secular trend in temperature in eastern China during 1909-2010, ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2016, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（27） On trend estimation and significance testing for non-Gaussian and serially dependent data: quantifying the urbanization effect on trends in hot extremes in the megacity of Shanghai, CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2016, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（28） Two Approaches for Statistical Prediction of Non-Gaussian Climate Extremes: A Case Study of Macao Hot Extremes during 1912-2012, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（29） Human Influences on Changes in the Temperature Seasonality in Mid- to High-Latitude Land Areas, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（30） Multidecadal Variability of North China Aridity and Its Relationship to PDO during 1900-2010, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2014, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（31） Climatic changes in the Twenty-four Solar Terms during 1960-2008, Climatic changes in the Twenty-four Solar Terms during 1960-2008, CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2012, 第 1 作者
（32） On Changing El Nino: A View from Time-Varying Annual Cycle, Interannual Variability, and Mean State, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2011, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（33） Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach, SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2011, 第 2 作者
（34） Changes in the Amplitude of the Temperature Annual Cycle in China and Their Implication for Climate Change Research, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2011, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（35） Trends in Temperature Extremes in Association with Weather-Intraseasonal Fluctuations in Eastern China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2011, 第 1 作者  通讯作者
（36） Changes in Seasonal Cycle and Extremes in China during the Period 1960--2008, Changes in Seasonal Cycle and Extremes in China during the Period 1960-2008, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2011, 第 3 作者
（37） The role of changes in the annual cycle in earlier onset of climatic spring in northern China, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences volume, 2011, 第 1 作者
（38） On Multi-Timescale Variability of Temperature in China in Modulated Annual Cycle Reference Frame, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2010, 第 1 作者
（39） On the secular change of spring onset at stockholm, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2009, 第 1 作者