钱诚  男  研究员/博导  中国科学院大气物理研究所 / 中国科学院大学岗位教授

2013年获得北京大学“谢义炳青年气象科技奖”

2016年入选中国科学院青年创新促进会人才项目

2023年入选中国科学院稳定支持基础研究领域青年团队

主持(完成)国家重点研发计划课题、中科院A类先导科技专项子课题、国家自然科学基金面上和专项培育等项目

电子邮件: qianch@tea.ac.cn

研究领域

气候变化检测归因(气候变化和极端天气气候事件中人类活动影响的检测和贡献估算)、预测预估

——研究区域气候变化和极端天气气候事件的历史演变规律、揭示其中是否有人类活动的影响、量化人类活动有多大的贡献、预测预估未来如何演变

在人类活动影响气温季节性变化的检测归因方面取得重要成果,被Nature、Science、Nature Climate Change、Nature Geoscience、Nature Sustainability、Nature Communication、IPCC第六次评估报告等多次引用。

招生信息

招硕士研究生、博士研究生

招生专业
070601-气象学
招生方向
气候变化,极端天气气候事件

教授课程

气候统计方法和应用

专利与奖励

   
奖励信息
(1) 中国科学院大气物理研究所2016年度科技创新贡献奖, 研究所(学校), 2016
(2) 2013年谢义炳青年气象科技奖, 一等奖, 研究所(学校), 2013
(3) 第28届中国气象学会年会优秀论文, 一等奖, 其他, 2011

出版信息

   
代表性论文
[1] Qian, Cheng, Ye, Yangbo, Jiang, Jiacheng, Zhong, Yangyang, Zhang, Yuting, Pinto, Izidine, Huang, Cunrui, Li, Sihan, Wei, Ke. Rapid attribution of the record-breaking heatwave event in North China in June 2023 and future risks. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS[J]. 2024, 19(1): http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad0dd9.
[2] Qian, Cheng, Ye, Yangbo, Bevacqua, Emanuele, Zscheischler, Jakob. Human influences on spatially compounding flooding and heatwave events in China and future increasing risks. WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES[J]. 2023, 42: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100616.
[3] Xiao, Chenglong, Qian, Cheng, Huang, Anning, Guo, Ruixia, Kuang, Xueyuan. Evaluation of AMIP models from CMIP6 in simulating winter surface air temperature trends over Eurasia during 1998-2012 based on dynamical adjustment. CLIMATE DYNAMICS[J]. 2023, 60: 17-31, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06295-0.
[4] Qian, Cheng, Ye, Yangbo, Chen, Yang, Zhai, Panmao. An Updated Review of Event Attribution Approaches. JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH[J]. 2022, 36(2): 227-238, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13351-022-1192-5.
[5] Qian, Cheng, Ye, Yangbo, Zhang, Wenxia, Zhou, Tianjun. Heavy Rainfall Event in Mid-August 2020 in Southwestern China: Contribution of Anthropogenic Forcings and Atmospheric Circulation. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY[J]. 2022, 103(3): S111-S117, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0233.1.
[6] Feng, Xiaofan, Qian, Cheng, Materia, Stefano. Amplification of the Temperature Seasonality in the Mediterranean Region Under Anthropogenic Climate Change. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS[J]. 2022, 49(20): [7] Zhou, Tianjun, Zhang, Wenxia, Zhang, Lixia, Clark, Robin, Qian, Cheng, Zhang, Qinghong, Qiu, Hui, Jiang, Jie, Zhang, Xing. 2021: A Year of Unprecedented Climate Extremes in Eastern Asia, North America, and Europe. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES[J]. 2022, 39(10): 1598-1607, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2063-9.
[8] Zhao, Yimin, Qian, Cheng, Zhang, Wenjun, He, Dong, Qi, Yajie. Extreme temperature indices in Eurasia in a CMIP6 multi-model ensemble: Evaluation and projection. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY[J]. 2021, 41(11): 5368-5385, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7134.
[9] Ye, Yangbo, Qian, Cheng. Conditional attribution of climate change and atmospheric circulation contributing to the record-breaking precipitation and temperature event of summer 2020 in southern China. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS[J]. 2021, 16(4): http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abeeaf.
[10] Qian, Cheng, Zhang, Xuebin, Li, Zhen. Linear trends in temperature extremes in China, with an emphasis on non-Gaussian and serially dependent characteristics. CLIMATE DYNAMICS[J]. 2019, 53(1-2): 533-550, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4600-x.
[11] Qian, Cheng, Zhang, Xuebin. Changes in Temperature Seasonality in China: Human Influences and Internal Variability. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE[J]. 2019, 32(19): 6237-6249, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000482950800003.
[12] Qian, Cheng, Wang, Jun, Dong, Siyan, Yin, Hong, Burke, Claire, Ciavarella, Andrew, Dong, Buwen, Freychet, Nicolas, Lott, Fraser C, Tett, Simon F B. HUMAN INFLUENCE ON THE RECORD-BREAKING COLD EVENT IN JANUARY OF 2016 IN EASTERN CHINA. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY[J]. 2018, 99(1): S118-S122, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000429319000023.
[13] Qi, Yajie, Yan, Zhongwei, Qian, Cheng, Sun, Ying. Near-Term Projections of Global and Regional Land Mean Temperature Changes Considering Both the Secular Trend and Multidecadal Variability. JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH[J]. 2018, 32(3): 337-350, http://lib.cqvip.com/Qikan/Article/Detail?id=675744278.
[14] Qian, Cheng, Zhou, Wen, Yang, XiuQun, Chan, Johnny C L. Statistical prediction of non-Gaussian climate extremes in urban areas based on the first-order difference method. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY[J]. 2018, 38(6): 2889-2898, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000437834500020.
[15] Qian Cheng, Cao Lijuan. Linear trends in mean and extreme temperature in Xiongan New Area, China. ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS[J]. 2018, 11(3): 246-254, http://sciencechina.cn/gw.jsp?action=detail.jsp&internal_id=6315246&detailType=1.
[16] Hu, Zengyun, Zhou, Qiming, Chen, Xi, Qian, Cheng, Wang, Shanshan, Li, Jianfeng. Variations and changes of annual precipitation in Central Asia over the last century. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY[J]. 2017, 37: 157-170, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4988.
[17] Qi, Yajie, Qian, Cheng, Yan, Zhongwei. An alternative multi-model ensemble mean approach for near-term projection. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY[J]. 2017, 37(1): 109-122, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000392415700009.
[18] Cornes, Richard C, Jones, Philip D, Qian, Cheng. Twentieth-Century Trends in the Annual Cycle of Temperature across the Northern Hemisphere. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE[J]. 2017, 30(15): 5755-5773, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0315.1.
[19] Qian, Cheng. Impact of land use/land cover change on changes in surface solar radiation in eastern China since the reform and opening up. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY[J]. 2016, 123(1-2): 131-139, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000368715000010.
[20] Qian, Cheng, Ren, Guoyu, Zhou, Yaqing. Urbanization effects on climatic changes in 24 particular timings of the seasonal cycle in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY[J]. 2016, 124(3-4): 781-791, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1446-6.
[21] Qian, Cheng. Disentangling the urbanization effect, multi-decadal variability, and secular trend in temperature in eastern China during 1909-2010. ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS[J]. 2016, 17(2): 177-182, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000369737600009.
[22] Qian, Cheng. On trend estimation and significance testing for non-Gaussian and serially dependent data: quantifying the urbanization effect on trends in hot extremes in the megacity of Shanghai. CLIMATE DYNAMICS[J]. 2016, 47(1-2): 329-344, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2838-0.
[23] Qian, Cheng, Zhou, Wen, Fong, Soi Kun, Leong, Ka Cheng. Two Approaches for Statistical Prediction of Non-Gaussian Climate Extremes: A Case Study of Macao Hot Extremes during 1912-2012. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE[J]. 2015, 28(2): 623-636, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000348220100012.
[24] Qian, Cheng, Zhang, Xuebin. Human Influences on Changes in the Temperature Seasonality in Mid- to High-Latitude Land Areas. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE[J]. 2015, 28(15): 5908-5921, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00821.1.
[25] Qian, Cheng, Zhou, Tianjun. Multidecadal Variability of North China Aridity and Its Relationship to PDO during 1900-2010. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE[J]. 2014, 27(3): 1210-1222, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000330085000014.
[26] QIAN Cheng, YAN ZhongWei, FU CongBin. Climatic changes in the Twenty-four Solar Terms during 1960-2008. CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN[J]. 2012, 57(2): 276-286, http://lib.cqvip.com/Qikan/Article/Detail?id=40772691.
[27] Cheng QIAN, Congbin Fu, ZhaoHua Wu, Dongxiao Wang. On Changing El Nino: A View from Time-Varying Annual Cycle, Interannual Variability, and Mean State. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE[J]. 2011, .(24): 6486-6500, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000298201300014.
[28] Fu Congbin, Qian Cheng, ZhaoHua Wu. Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach. SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES[J]. 2011, .(54): 1400-1406, http://lib.cqvip.com/Qikan/Article/Detail?id=39081678.
[29] Cheng QIAN, Congbin Fu, ZhaoHua Wu. Changes in the Amplitude of the Temperature Annual Cycle in China and Their Implication for Climate Change Research. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE[J]. 2011, .(24): 5292-5302, https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000296476700006.
[30] Qian Cheng, Yan Zhongwei, ZhaoHua Wu, Fu Congbin, Tu Kai. Trends in Temperature Extremes in Association with Weather-Intraseasonal Fluctuations in Eastern China. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES[J]. 2011, .(2): 297-309, http://lib.cqvip.com/Qikan/Article/Detail?id=37029763.
[31] Yan Zhongwei, Xia Jiangjiang, Qian Cheng, Zhou Wen. Changes in Seasonal Cycle and Extremes in China during the Period 1960-2008. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES[J]. 2011, 28(2): 269-283, http://lib.cqvip.com/Qikan/Article/Detail?id=37029761.
[32] Qian Cheng, Fu Congbin, WU ZhaoHua, Yan Zhongwei. The role of changes in the annual cycle in earlier onset of climatic spring in northern China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences volume[J]. 2011, 28(2): 284-296, [33] Qian Cheng, WU ZhaoHua, Fu Congbin, Zhou Tianjun. On multi-timescale variability of temperature in China in modulated annual cycle reference frame. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES[J]. 2010, 27(5): 1169-1182, http://lib.cqvip.com/Qikan/Article/Detail?id=35374436.
[34] Cheng Qian, Congbin Fu, ZhaoHua Wu, Zhongwei YAN. On the secular change of spring onset at Stockholm. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS[J]. 2009, .(36): L12706-, http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2400755.