基本信息

段宏波  教授 博导  经济与管理学院
电子邮件: hbduan@ucas.ac.cn
通信地址: 北京市海淀区中关村南一条3号东小楼
邮政编码: 100190

研究领域

环境资源经济学、综合评估建模、碳数据与金融


招生信息

招生专业
020106-人口、资源与环境经济学
020205-产业经济学
1201J4-经济计算与模拟
招生信息

课题组招收博士后、博士和硕士研究生,欢迎具有数学、经济学、管理科学等背景的学生入组!

工作经历

工作简历
2022-01~现在, 中国科学院大学, 教授
2018-01~2019-01,University of Kansas, Visiting scholar
2017-12~2021-12,中国科学院大学, 副教授
2016-07~2017-11,中国科学院大学, 讲师
2013-07~2016-07,中国科学院大学, 师资博士后
社会兼职
2020-12-15-今,中国系统工程学会服务系统工程专委会, 副主任委员
2020-06-01-今,Climate Change Economics, 客座主编
2020-01-19-今,中国系统工程学会生态环境系统工程专委会, 委员
2019-10-10-今,Energy Economics, 客座编辑
2019-08-07-今,International Journal of Revenue Management, 副主编
2019-05-08-今,中国系统工程学会能源资源系统工程分会, 副秘书长
2019-03-19-今,Regional Environmental Change, 客座主编
2018-07-17-今,Mitigation & Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 副主编/客座主编
2018-05-03-今,Cambrideg Scholars Publishing, 经济学顾问编委
2015-06-30-今,中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会低碳发展管理分会, 常务理事

教授课程

气候经济学
环境与自然资源经济学

专利与奖励

奖励信息
(1) 安徽省自然科学奖, 二等奖, 省级, 2022
(2) 系统科学与系统工程青年科技奖, 其他, 2022
(3) 唐立新优秀学者奖, , 其他, 2021
(4) ERL年度最佳论文奖 (Best Article Prize), , 其他, 2020
(5) 教育部高等学校科学研究优秀成果奖(人文社科), , 部委级, 2019
(6) 成思危优秀科研成果奖, 研究所(学校), 2019
(7) Eni Award提名, , 其他, 2018
(8) Springer Nature“改变世界”研究奖, , 其他, 2018

出版信息

代表性论文
[1] Yun Tang, Hongbo Duan, Shin Yu. Mitigating climate change to alleviate economic inequality under the Paris Agreement. iScience[J]. 2023, 26(1): 105734-, 
[2] Yongna Yuan, Guiyu Li, Hongbo Duan. The achievement of multiple nationally determined contribution goals and regional economic development in China. Environmental and Resource Economics[J]. 2023, 84(1): 68-89, 
[3] Duan, Hongbo, Yuan, Deyu, Cai, Zongwu, Wang, Shouyang. Valuing the impact of climate change on China's economic growth. Economic Analysis and Policy[J]. 2022, 74: 155-174, 
[4] Kailan Tian, Yu Zhang, Yuze Li, Xi Ming, Shangrong Jiang, Hongbo Duan, Cuihong Yang, Shouyang Wang. Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership burdens global carbon emission mitigation. Nature Communications[J]. 2022, 13: 408-, 
[5] Duan, Hongbo, Pan, Jiahua, Tsvetanov, Tsvetan G, Zhang, Bing. What mitigation can Asia contribute to the Paris Agreement goals?. Climate Change Economics[J]. 2022, 12(4): 2203001-, 
[6] Zhu, Lei, Liu, Junqi, Xie, Jun, Yu, Yang, Gao, Lin, Li, Sheng, Duan, Hongbo. Can efficiency evaluation be applied to power plant operation improvement? A combined method with modified weighted russell directional distance model and pattern matching. Computers & Operations Research[J]. 2021, 134: 105406-, 
[7] Mo, Jianlei, Zhang, Weirong, Tu, Qiang, Yuan, Jiahai, Duan, Hongbo, Fan, Ying, Pan, Jiaofeng, Zhang, Jian, Meng, Zhixu. The role of national carbon pricing in phasing out China's coal power. iScience[J]. 2021, 3: 102655-, 
[8] Duan, Hongbo, Zhou, Sheng, Jiang, Kejun, Bertram, Christoph, Harmsen, Mathijs, Kriegler, Elmar, van Vuuren, Detlef P, Wang, Shouyang, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Tavoni, Massimo, Ming, Xi, Keramidas, Kimon, Iyer, Gokul, Edmonds, James. Assessing China's efforts to pursue the 1.5 degrees C warming limit. Science[J]. 2021, 372(6540): 378-385, 
[9] Zhang, Gupeng, Wang, Xiao, Duan, Hongbo, Zheng, Leven J. How do new entrants' pre-entry technological backgrounds impact their cross-industry innovation performances? A retrospective study of the mobile phone vendors. Technovation[J]. 2021, 100: 102176-, 
[10] Hongbo Duan, Shouyang Wang, Cuihong Yang. Coronavirus: limit short-term economic damage. Nature[J]. 2020, 578(7796): 515-, 
[11] Yongna Yuan, Hongbo Duan, Tsvetan G. Tevetanov. Synergizing China’s Energy and Carbon Mitigation Goals: General Equilibrium Modeling and Policy Options. Energy Economics[J]. 2020, 87: 104787-, 
[12] Duan, Hongbo, Zhang, Gupeng, Wang, Shouyang, Fan, Ying. Integrated benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation. Ecological Economics[J]. 2019, 160: 76-86, 
[13] Hongbo Duan, Gupeng Zhang, Shouyang Wang, Ying Fan. Robust climate change research: Review on multi-model comparison analysis. Environmental Research Letters[J]. 2019, 14(3): 033001-, 
[14] 段宏波, 汪寿阳. 中国的挑战:全球温控目标从2℃到1.5℃的战略调整. 管理世界[J]. 2019, 10: 50-63, 
[15] Duan, Hongbo, Zhang, Gupeng, Wang, Shouyang, Fan, Ying. Peer interaction and learning: Cross-country diffusion of solar photovoltaic technology. Journal of Business Research[J]. 2018, 89: 57-66, 
[16] Duan, Hongbo, Mo, Jianlei, Fan, Ying, Wang, Shouyang. Achieving China's energy and climate policy targets in 2030 under multiple uncertainties. Energy Economics[J]. 2018, 70: 45-60, 
[17] 莫建雷, 段宏波, 范英, 汪寿阳. 《巴黎协定》中我国能源和气候政策目标:综合评估与政策选择. 经济研究[J]. 2018, 53(9): 168-181, 
[18] Duan, Hongbo, Zhu, Lei, Kumbaroglu, Guerkan, Fan, Ying. Regional Opportunities for China to Go Low-Carbon: Results from the REEC Model. The Energy Journal[J]. 2016, 37: 223-252, 
[19] Duan, Hongbo, Zhu, Lei, Fan, Ying. Modelling the Evolutionary Paths of Multiple Carbon-Free Energy Technologies with Policy Incentives. Environmental Modeling & Assessment[J]. 2015, 20(1): 55-69, 
[20] Hong-Bo Duan, Lei Zhu, Ying Fan. A cross-country study on the relationship between diffusion of wind and photovoltaic solar technology. Technological Forecasting & Social Change[J]. 2014, 83: 156-169, 
发表著作
(1) 中国能源安全研究—基于管理科学的视角(第17章), 科学出版社, 2013-08, 第 1 作者
(2) 能源系统集成建模: 政策驱动下的低碳转型, 科学出版社, 2017-01, 第 1 作者
(3) 全球能源转型背景下的中国能源革命(第三章), 中国发展出版社, 2019-08, 第 1 作者
(4) 碳中和经济学:理论方法与应用(在版), 科学出版社, 2023-06, 第 1 作者

科研活动

   
科研项目
( 1 ) 能源经济环境集成系统中的多重内生技术演化建模与政策优化设计(青年), 负责人, 国家任务, 2016-01--2018-12
( 2 ) 矿产资源约束下的综合评估建模与碳中和路径设计(面上), 负责人, 国家任务, 2023-01--2026-12
( 3 ) 能源供给侧与需求侧协同绿色低碳发展机制与实现路径研究(社科重大项目课题), 负责人, 国家任务, 2022-01--2025-12
( 4 ) 能源-经济-环境集成模型中的多重不确定性作用机制与减排政策研究(面上), 负责人, 国家任务, 2019-01--2022-12
( 5 ) 我国能源安全问题研究(应急子课题), 负责人, 国家任务, 2020-01--2020-12
( 6 ) 能源-经济-环境综合评估建模理论与应用(优青), 负责人, 国家任务, 2021-01--2023-12
( 7 ) 中国科学院青年创新促进会项目, 负责人, 中国科学院计划, 2021-01--2024-12
( 8 ) 应对全球变化的可持续转型模式研究(重点研发子课题), 负责人, 国家任务, 2021-01--2025-12
参与会议
(1)China’s low-carbon transition of transportation towards carbon neutrality   2022IAMC年会   2022-11-30
(2)China’s challenges and opportunities toward carbon neutrality   2022世界银行与IMF联合研讨会   2022-03-03
(3)Alleviating economic inequality for pursuing the Paris agreement   2021 IAMC年会   2021-12-02
(4)Feasible tech-economic pathways towards China’s carbon neutrality   2021世界青年科学家峰会   2021-11-13
(5)China's carbon neutral strategies under the enhanced warming-limit pledges   2020 IAMC年会   2020-12-02
(6)China’s challenges of warming limit-Strategic shift from 2 °C to well below 1.5 °C   2020 GTAP年会   2020-06-17
(7)Non-standard scheme and diffusion of electric vehicles   2019 INFORMS年会   2019-10-20
(8)Multi-renewable Interactions: Relationships, equilibrium stabilization and short-term forecasts   2019 EAERE年会   2019-06-25
(9)Regional insights: China   2019 IEW年会   2019-06-03
(10)Entanglements between diffusion of wind and solar within uncertain technology ecological system   2018 IAEE北美会议   2018-09-23
(11)Valuing economic impacts of climate change using functional data analysis: The case of China   2018西南金融论坛   2018-04-06
(12)E3METL: 传统IA模型框架中连接自顶向下和自底向上两种建模思路的尝试   2017 CEMF研讨会   2017-11-11
(13)Policy effectiveness assessment of China’s optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation   2017 IEA年会   2017-07-12
(14)The timing of China’s carbon peaking under an uncertain future   2016 IAEE欧亚大会   2016-08-27
(15)Cooperativity for reaching China’s carbon-peaking and non-fossil energy development targets   2016 FMEE会议   2016-05-13
(16)Quantifying China’s warming benefit of substituting coal-fired electricity in mitigating climate change   2015 IEEE风险管理论坛   2015-08-14
(17)How will emissions trading scheme affect the China’s long-term evolution of carbon-free technologies?   2014 IAEE亚洲会议   2014-09-19
(18)The role of endogenous energy efficiency improvement (EEEI) in climate change abatement   2014 IEW年会   2014-06-04
(19)Optimal carbon taxes in carbon constrained China-a hybrid energy economy environmental model   2013 IAEE年会   2013-06-16
(20)What’s the most cost-effective policy of CO2 targeted reduction?   2012 ICAE年会   2012-07-05