基本信息
马柱国  男  博导  中国科学院大气物理研究所
电子邮件: mazg@tea.ac.cn
通信地址: 北京朝阳区华严里40号
邮政编码: 100029

个人简介

马柱国,研究员/博士生导师,中科院特聘研究员/中国科学院大学岗位教授。1986年7月毕业于成都气象学院气象系,1989年在中国科学院兰州高原大气物理研究所获硕士学位,1999年在中国科学院大气物理研究所获博士学位。曾任中国科学院东亚区域气候-环境重点实验室主任(2009-2020),全球变化国家重大研究计划“973”项目首席科学家(2012-2016),国家重点研发计划《全球变化及应对》专项项目首席科学家(2016-2021),国家自然科学基金委重点基金负责人(2016-2020)。主持了科技部、基金委和科学院项目多项。研究兴趣集中在全球及区域干旱化的检测和形成机理、气候与水文过程的相互作用、区域气候的分析及模拟、区域模式的发展和应用、城市化对气候变化影响等方面。兼任科学院和教育部多个重点实验室学术委员会委员和《大气科学》等多个期刊的编委。完成和发表论文共计150余篇,其中SCI论文80余篇,2004年获得科学技术部重大基础研究计划“973”项目先进个人,2012、2016和2017年分别获得省部级奖励3项,与他人合作著作5部。


研究方向

  1. 干旱、干旱化的检测与形成机理
  2. 全球及区域气候变化的分析与模拟
  3. 陆面过程与气候变化的相互作用
  4. 气候变化、人类活动与水循环变化

近年来的主要项目

  1. 国家自然科学基金重点项目:气候变化和人类活动影响下中国北方陆地干湿变化的机制研究(42130613,2022-2026),主持人

  2. 国家重点研发计划全球变化及应对项目:气候多尺度变化与年代际重大事件的归因与预估(2016YFA06004002016-2021),项目首席科学家

  3. 国家自然科学基金重点项目:气候变化和人类活动对黄河流域三水转化过程的影响研究(415305322016-2020),主持人

  4. 全球变化研究国家重大研究计划“973”项目:全球典型干旱半干旱地区年代尺度气候变化的机理及其影响研究2012CB9562002012-2016),项目首席科学家

  5. 国家自然科学基金面上项目:黄土高原退耕还林的区域气候及水文效应(412750852013-2016),主持人

近年来发表的论文(2016-2021)

2021

  1. Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth Good, Ying Sun, Zhongwei Yan, Nick Dunstone, Hong-Li Ren, Chaofan Li, Riyu Lu, Peili Wu, Zongjian Ke, Zhuguo Ma, Kalli Furtado, Tongwen Wu, Tianjun Zhou, Tyrone Dunbar, Chris Hewitt, Nicola Golding, Peiqun Zhang, Rob Allan, Kirstine Dale, Fraser C. Lott, Peter A. Stott, Sean Milton, Lianchun Song, and Stephen Belcher,The U.K.–China Climate Science to Service Partnership,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2021,https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0055.1

  2. Yang Qing, Li M., Zu Z., Ma Z., Has the stilling of the surface wind speed ended in China? Science China-Earth Sciences, 2021, 64 (7): 1036–1049.

  3. Cao Fuqiang Cao, Dan L., Ma Z., Gao T., The impact of land use and land cover change on regional climate over East Asia during 1980–2010 using a coupled mode, Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2021) 145:549–565.

  4. 韩云环, 马柱国, 李明星, . 2021. 20012010 年中国区域土地利用/覆盖变化对陆面过程影响的模拟研究 [J]. 气候与环境研究, 26(1): 75−90

  5. Lu, Z., Yuan, N., Yang, Q., Ma, Z., & Kurths, J. (2021). Early warning of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation phase transition using complex network analysis. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091674. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091674

  6. Omer Abubaker, Ma Zhuguo, Xing Yuan, Ziyan Zheng, Farhan Saleem, A hydrological perspective on drought risk-assessment in the Yellow River Basin under future anthropogenic activities, Journal of Environmental Management 289 (2021) 112429 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112429

  7. Zheng Y, Duan J, Ma Z., South–north heterogeneity of the effect of volcaniceruptions on dryness/wetness in Central and Eastern China. Int J Climatol. 2021;1–16.https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.705016

  8. Yang Q, Chen L,Duan Y, Jian D, Ma Z. Expansion of drylands in China with an additional half a degree warming.Int J Climatol. 2021;1–15.https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7052

  9. Li MingxingPeili WuDavid M. H. SextonZhuguo Ma, Potential shifts in climate zones under a future global warming scenario using soil moisture classifcationClimate Dynamics2021https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05576-w

  10. Zhang X, Chen L, Ma Z,Gao Y. Assessment of surface exchange coefficients in the Noah-MP land surface model for different land-cover types in China. Int J Climatol. 2021;41:2638–2659.https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6981

  11. Zhang Haoxin, Naiming Yuan, Zhuguo Ma, and Yu HuangUnderstanding the Soil Temperature Variability at Different Depths: Effects of Surface Air Temperature,Snow Cover, and the Soil MemoryAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences, 202138493–503

  12. Lv Meixia, Zhuguo Ma, Naiming Yuan(2021). Attributing terrestrial water storage variations across China to changes in groundwater and human water use, J. Hydrometeor., https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0095.1

  13. Dai Danqiong, Chen LiangMa Zhuguo, Xu Zhongfeng, Evaluation of the WRF physics ensemble using a multivariable integrated evaluation approach over the Haihe river basin in northern China, Climate Dynamics, 2021, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05723-x

2020

  1. Li Mingxing Peili Wu, Zhuguo Ma, Meixia Lv, Qing Yang(2020). Changes in soil moisture persistence in China over the past 40 years under a warming climate, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0900.1

  2. Omer, N.A. Elagib, Ma Zhuguo, et al.(2020). Water scarcity in the Yellow River Basin under future climate change and human activities, Science of the Total Environment, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141446

  3. Zhang Qiang, Yao Yubi, Li Yaohui LI, Huang Jianping, Ma Zhuguo, Wang Zhilan, Wang Suping, Wang Yingand Zhang Yu. (2020). Causes and Changes of Drought in China: Research Progress and Prospects, Journal of Meteorological Research, 34:460-481.

  4. Jian Dongnan, Zhuguo Ma, Liang Chen, Jianping Duan, Daniel Mitchell, Ziyan Zheng, Meixia Lv, Haoxin Zhang, Effects of 1.5and 2 of warming on regional reference evapotranspiration and drying: A case study of the Yellow River Basin, China, Int J Climatol., 2020, 1-20, DOI: 10.1002/joc.6667.

  5. Li Mingxing Peili Wu, Zhuguo Ma, A comprehensive evaluation of soil moisture and soil temperature from third-generation atmospheric and land reanalysis data sets, Int J Climatol. 2020;1–23. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6549

  6. Omer, N. A., Ma Zhuguo, Ziyan Zheng, Farhan SaleemNatural and anthropogenic influences on the recent droughts in Yellow River Basin, ChinaScience of the Total Environment 704 (2020) 135428https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135428

  7. Duan J., Peili Wu, Zhuguo Ma, Yawen Duan(2020), Unprecedented recent late-summer warm extremes recorded in treering density on the Tibetan Plateau, Environ. Res. Lett. 15, 024006

  8. Cao Fuqiang, Dan Li, Ma Zhuguo, Gao Tao, Assessing the regional climate impact on terrestrial ecosystem over East Asia using coupled models with land use and land cover forcing during 1980-2010., Scientific Reports, (2020) 10:2572 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-59503-4

  9. Timur T Berdimbetov, Zhu-Guo Ma, Chen Liangand Sana IlyasImpact of Climate Factors and Human Activities on Water Resources in the Aral Sea BasinHydrology 2020, 7, 30; doi:10.3390/hydrology7020030

  10. 马柱国, 符淙斌, 周天军, . 黄河流域气候与水文变化的现状及思考. 中国科学院院刊. 2020, 35(1): 52-60.

  11. 郑子彦, 吕美霞, 马柱国. 黄河源区气候水文和植被覆盖变化及面临问题的对策建议. 中国科学院院刊. 2020, 35(1): 61-72.


2019

  1. Lv, M., Ma, Z., Li, M., & Zheng, Z. (2019). Quantitative analysis of terrestrial water storage changes under the Grain for Green program in the Yellow River basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 13361351. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029113

  2. Duan, J., Ma, Z., Li, L., & Zheng, Z. (2019). August‐September temperature variability on the Tibetan Plateau: Past, present, and future. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 6057–6068. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030444

  3. Duan J., Lun Li, Zhuguo Ma, Liang Chen (2019), Post-industrial late summer warming recorded in tree-ring density in the eastern Tibetan Plateau, Int J Climatol. 2019;1–10. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6239

  4. Duan J., Peili Wu, Zhguguo Ma,(2019), Reconciling the discrepancy of post-volcanic cooling estimated from tree-ring reconstructions and model simulations over theTibetan Plateau, Atmosphere 2019, 10, 738; doi:10.3390/atmos10120738

  5. Yang Q., Ma, Z., Wu, P., N. P. Klingaman and Zhang L. (2019). Interdecadal seesaw of precipitation variability between North China and the Southwest United States, J. Clim., 32, 2951-2968. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0082.1

  6. Xu, W., Sun Chenghu, Zuo Jingqing, Ma Zhuguo, Li Weijing, And Yang Song (2019.Homogenization of monthly ground surface temperature in China during 1961–2016 and performances of GLDAS reanalysis products, J. Clim., 32, 1121-1135.DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0275.1

  7.  Lv Meixia, Ma Zhguo, Chen Liang, and Peng Shaoming. (2019). Evapotranspiration reconstruction based on land surface models and observed water budget components while considering irrigation, J. Hydrometeor., 20, 2161-2183.DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0090.1

  8.  Lv Meixia, Zhuguo MA & Shaoming PENG (2019): Responses of terrestrial water cycle components to afforestation within and around the Yellow River basin, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2019.1569456

  9.  Hu, Z, Xu, Z, Ma, Z*, Mahmood, R, Yang, Z. (2019). Potential surface hydrologic responses to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations and land use and land cover changes, Int J Climatol.: 2019 ,39 ,814–827.doi:10.1002/joc.5844

  10. Cao Fuqiang, Tao Gao, Li Dan, Zhuguo Ma, Xiujing Yang, Fuqiang Yang.(2019). Contribution of large-scale circulation anomalies to variability of summer precipitation extremes in northeast China, Atmos Sci Lett.,1-11https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.867

  11. Guan X, Ma J, Huang J, Huang R, Zhang L, Ma Z. (2019). Impact of oceans on climate change in drylands, Science China Earth Sciences: 2019 ,62 ,891–908, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-018-9317-8

  12.  Duan Jianping, Zhuguo Ma, Peili Wu, Elena Xoplaki, Gabriele Hegerl, Lun Li, Andrew Schurer, Dabo Guan, Liang Chen, Yawen Duan and Jürg Luterbacher.(2019). Detection of human influences on temperature seasonality from the nineteenth century, Nature Suctainability, 2,484-490, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0276-4

  13. Zhong Linhao, Lijuan Hua, Ma Zhuguo, Yao Yao. (2019). A quantitative study of moisture transport variation on the interdecadal variation of the summer precipitation in South China from 1979 to 2015, Climate Dynamics: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04822-0

  14. Cao, FQ, Gao, T, Dan, L.; Ma, ZG.,et al (2019). Synoptic-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies associated with summertime daily precipitation extremes in the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin, Climate Dynamics, 53(5-6), 3109-3129. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04687-3

  15. Duan Jianping, Zhuguo Ma, Naiming Yuan, Lun Li, Liang Chen, (2019). Extremes in the magnitude of annual temperature cycle on the Tibetan Plateau over the past three centuries, Climate Dynamics, 52, 3599–3608. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4346-5

  16. Zhang, X., Li M.X., Ma Z.G. et al, (2019). Assessment of an evapotranspiration deficit drought index in relation to impacts on ecosystems, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 36(11), 1273-1287. DOI: 10.1007/s00376-019-9061-6

2018

  1. Chen, L., Z. G. Ma, Z. H. Li, L. Wu, J. Flemke, and Y. P. Li, 2018: Dynamical Downscaling of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in China under Current and Future Climates, Atmosphere-Ocean, 56(1), 55-70, doi:10.1080/07055900.2017.1422691.

  2. Duan, Y. W., P. L. Wu, X. L. Chen, and Z. G. Ma, 2018: Assessing Global Warming Induced Changes in Summer Rainfall Variability over Eastern China Using the Latest Hadley Centre Climate Model HadGEM3-GC2, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8), 1077-1093, doi:10.1007/s00376-018-7264-x.

  3. Jiang, X. L., F. M. Ren, Y. J. Li, W. Y. Qiu, Z. G. Ma, and Q. B. Cai, 2018: Characteristics and Preliminary Causes of Tropical Cyclone Extreme Rainfall Events over Hainan Island, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(5), 580-591, doi:10.1007/s00376-017-7051-0.

  4.  Li, M. X., and Z. G. Ma, 2018: Decadal changes in summer precipitation over arid northwest China and associated atmospheric circulations, International Journal of Climatology, 38(12), 4496-4508, doi:10.1002/joc.5682.

  5.  Lv, M. X., Z. G. Ma*, and M. Z. Lv, 2018: Effects of Climate/Land Surface Changes on Streamflow With Consideration of Precipitation Intensity and Catchment Characteristics in the Yellow River Basin, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(4), 1942-1958, doi:10.1002/2017jd027625.

  6.  Duan Jianping, Lun Li, Zhuguo Ma, Jan Esper, Ulf Büntgen, Elena Xoplaki, Dujuan Zhang, Lily Wang, Hong Yin, and Jürg Luterbacher, 2018: Summer Cooling Driven by Large Volcanic Eruptions over the Tibetan Plateau, J.Clim., 31:9869-9878

  7. Zhang Hongquan, Ma Zhuguo, Stability and tilting of regional water cycle over Tarim Basin. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS), 2018, 379, 31-36. DOI: 10.5194/piahs-379-31-2018

  8. 马柱国,符淙斌,杨庆,郑子彦,吕美霞,李明星,段亚雯,陈亮.2018: 关于我国北方干旱化及其转折性变化[J].大气科学,42(04):951-961.

  9. 陈亮,段建平,马柱国.2018:大气环流形势客观分型及其与中国降水的联系[J].地球科学进展,33(04):396-403.

  10. 胡祖恒,徐忠峰,马柱国.2018: 欧洲地区不同温室气体背景下土地利用/覆盖变化的气候效应[J].气候与环境研究,23(02):176-184.

  11. 张霞,李明星,马柱国.2018: 30年全球干旱半干旱区的蒸散变化特征[J].大气科学,42(02):251-267.

2017

  1. Chen, L., Z. G. Ma, R. Mahmood, T. B. Zhao, Z. H. Li, and Y. P. Li, 2017: Recent land cover changes and sensitivity of the model simulations to various land cover datasets for China, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 129(4), 395-408, doi:10.1007/s00703-016-0478-5.

  2.  Chen, L., Z. G. Ma, and T. B. Zhao, 2017: Modeling and analysis of the potential impacts on regional climate due to vegetation degradation over arid and semi-arid regions of China, Climatic Change, 144(3), 461-473, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1847-2.

  3.  Duan, Y. W., Z. G. Ma, and Q. Yang, 2017: Characteristics of consecutive dry days variations in China, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 130(1-2), 701-709, doi:10.1007/s00704-016-1984-6.

  4.  Chen Liang, Zhu-Guo Ma, Tian-Bao Zhao, Zhen-Hua Li & Yan-Ping Li (2017) Simulation of the regional climatic effect of irrigation over the Yellow River Basin, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 10:4, 291-297, DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2017.1313681

  5. Hua, L. J., L. H. Zhong, and Z. G. Ma, 2017: Decadal Transition of Moisture Sources and Transport in Northwestern China During Summer From 1982 to 2010, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 122(23), 12522-12540, doi:10.1002/2017jd027728.

  6.  Li, M. X., Z. G. Ma, H. P. Gu, Q. Yang, and Z. Y. Zheng, 2017: Production of a combined land surface data set and its use to assess land-atmosphere coupling in China, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 122(2), 948-965, doi:10.1002/2016jd025511.

  7. Li, M. X., Z. G. Ma, and M. X. Lv, 2017: Variability of modeled runoff over China and its links to climate change, Climatic Change, 144(3), 433-445, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1593-x.

  8. Yang, Q., M. X. Li, Z. Y. Zheng, and Z. G. Ma*, 2017: Regional applicability of seven meteorological drought indices in China, Science China-Earth Sciences, 60(4), 745-760, doi:10.1007/s11430-016-5133-5.

  9. Yang, Q., Z. G. Ma, X. G*. Fan, Z. L. Yang, Z. F. Xu, and P. L. Wu, 2017: Decadal Modulation of Precipitation Patterns over Eastern China by Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies, Journal of Climate, 30(17), 7017-7033, doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0793.1.

  10. Yang, Q., Z. G. Ma*, and B. L. Xu, 2017: Modulation of monthly precipitation patterns over East China by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Climatic Change, 144(3), 405-417, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1662-9.

  11. Yang, Q., Z. G. Ma, Z. Y. Zheng, and Y. W. Duan, 2017: Sensitivity of Potential Evapotranspiration Estimation to the Thornthwaite and Penman-Monteith Methods in the Study of Global Drylands, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34(12), 1381-1394, doi:10.1007/s00376-017-6313-1.

  12. Huang,J.Y.Li,C.Fu, F. Chen, Q. Fu, A.Dai, M.Shinoda, Z.Ma, W.Guo,Z. Li, L. Zhang, Y. Liu, H.Yu, Y.He, Y.Xie, X. Guan, M. Ji, L. Lin, S. Wang,H. Yan, and G.Wang, 2017:Dryland climate change: Recent progress and challenges, Rev. Geophys., 55, 719–778,doi:10.1002/2016RG000550

  13.  Lv, M. X., Z. G. Ma*, X. Yuan, M. Z. Lv, M. X. Li, and Z. Y. Zheng, 2017: Water budget closure based on GRACE measurements and reconstructed evapotranspiration using GLDAS and water use data for two large densely-populated mid-latitude basins, Journal of Hydrology, 547, 585-599, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.02.027.

  14.  Shan, Y. L., H. R. Zheng, D. B. Guan, C. M. Li, Z. F. Mi, J. Meng, H. Schroeder, J. B. Ma, and Z. G. Ma, 2017: Energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Tibet and its cities in 2014, Earth Future, 5(8), 854-864, doi:10.1002/2017ef000571.

  15. Yang, Z. L., and Z. G. Ma, 2017: Foreword to the special issue: decadal scale drought in arid regions, Climatic Change, 144(3), 389-390, doi:10.1007/s10584-017-2050-9.

  16. Zheng, Z. Y., Z. G. Ma, M. X. Li, and J. J. Xia, 2017: Regional water budgets and hydroclimatic trend variations in Xinjiang from 1951 to 2000, Climatic Change, 144(3), 447-460, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1842-7

  17. Ogou Faustin Katchele, Zhu Guo Ma*, Qing Yang, Kpaikpai Batebana. 2017:Comparison of trends and frequencies of drought in central North China and sub-Saharan Africa from 1901 to 2010. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett. 10 (6): 418-426

  18. 胡祖恒,徐忠峰,马柱国.北半球温室气体和土地利用/覆盖变化对地面气温日较差的影响[J].气象,2017,43(12):1453-1460.

  19. 朱江,马柱国,严中伟,袁星,符淙斌.气候变化背景下雄安新区发展中面临的问题[J].中国科学院院刊,2017,32(11):1231-1236.

  20. 韩云环,郑子彦,肖宇,马柱国.基于统计年鉴和MODIS的中国区域土地利用/覆盖变化特征研究[J].气候与环境研究,2017,22(06):733-746.

  21. 徐芳,李晓轩,王晓明,马柱国.在融合科学领域开展协同设计与协同实施的思考与建议[J].气候变化研究进展,2017,13(04):405-406.

  22. 徐保梁,杨庆,马柱国.全球不同空间尺度陆地年降水的年代尺度变化特征[J].大气科学,2017,41(03):593-602.

  23. 蒋贤玲,任福民,马柱国,蔡亲波.2014年两次路径相似热带气旋降水特征及其成因的对比[J].地球物理学报,2017,60(04):1305-1320.

  24. 杨庆,李明星,郑子彦,马柱国*.7种气象干旱指数的中国区域适应性[J].中国科学:地球科学,2017,47(03):337-353.

  25. 肖宇,马柱国,李明星.陆面模式中土壤湿度影响蒸散参数化方案的评估[J].大气科学,2017,41(01):132-146.

2016

  1. Yuan X., F. Ma, L. Y. Wang, Z. Y. Zheng, Z. G. Ma, A. Z. Ye and S. M. Peng.2016An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part 1: Understanding the role of initial hydrological conditionsHydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.20 ,2437-2451

  2. Lv, Meixia, Zhenchun Hao, Zhaohui Lin, Zhuguo Ma, Meizhao Lv, and Jiahu Wang, 2016Reservoir Operationwith Feedback in a Coupled Land Surface and Hydrologic Model: A Case Study of the Huai River Basin, China. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 52(1): 168-183.

  3. Gu, H. P., Z. G. Ma*, and M. X. Li, 2016: Effect of a large and very shallow lake on local summer precipitation over the Lake Taihu basin in China, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(15), 8832-8848, doi:10.1002/2015jd024098.

  4. 马思源, 朱克云, 李明星, 马柱国. 2016. 中国区域多源土壤湿度数据的比较研究. 气候与环境研究, 21 (2): 121−133